GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · THU, 20 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LDU DE QUITO
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES
MIRASSOL
⚽ 120+1' Deyverson ⚽ 120+2' Jesús Pretell ⚽ 120+3' Michael Estrada ⚽ 120+4' Gian Franco Allala ⚽ 120+5' Fernando Cornejo
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Victor Luis ⚽ 120+2' Alesson ⚽ 120+3' Carlos Eduardo ⚽ 120+4' Neto Moura ⚽ 120+5' Bruno Santos
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 54/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LDU
2 – 1
MIR
most likely scoreline · 11.7% probability
AI PICKS LDU DE QUITO TO WIN 58%
FT 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LDU WIN 58%
DRAW 26%
MIR WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.4% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched Copa Libertadores rivals; home advantage and form split favour LDU, but Mirassol's recent upswing and road competence keep this competitive.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LDU DE QUITO FAVORED
58%

AI reasoning narrative not yet generated for this team.

WHY MIRASSOL CHALLENGED
16%
Evenly matched Copa Libertadores rivals; home advantage and form split favour LDU, but Mirassol's recent upswing and road competence keep this competitive.
+30.0%
Both tied on 12 pts but LDU stronger at home (WWW vs Mirassol's LWL away)
+25.0%
H2H split: 1 recent draw (Aug 13) suggests tight contest; Mirassol won 2-0 in May but that's stale
+20.0%
Mirassol's hot form (DLWWW) and superior GD (+3 vs LDU's +3 tied) offset home bias
+15.0%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 121' VICTOR LUI ⚽ 121' DEYVERSON ⚽ 122' ALESSON ⚽ 122' JESúS PRE ⚽ 123' MICHAEL ES ⚽ 123' CARLOS EDU ⚽ 124' NETO MOURA ⚽ 124' GIAN FRANC ⚽ 125' BRUNO SANT ⚽ 125' FERNANDO C
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 10 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.8
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
·
·
2
11.7
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
·
·
3
8.5
7.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.6
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.7%
1 — 0 10.8%
2 — 1 9.7%
1 — 1 9.0%
3 — 0 8.5%
Top 5 = 49.7% · rest 50.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.13
52.0%
1.92
+10.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
48.0%
2.08
+1.2%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.28
16.0%
6.25
+0.4%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.34
42.0%
2.38
-1.6%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.74
26.0%
3.85
-2.8%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.11
84.0%
1.19
-6.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
74.0%
1.35
-8.2%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
58.0%
1.72
-9.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.