GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · LDU DE QUITO 58%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · THU, 20 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
LDU DE QUITO
1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L L
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
MIRASSOL
D L W W W
· 2ND · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 120+1' Deyverson (P) ⚽ 120+2' Jesús Pretell (P) ⚽ 120+3' Michael Estrada (P) ⚽ 120+4' Gian Franco Allala (P) ⚽ 120+5' Fernando Cornejo (P)
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Victor Luis (P) ⚽ 120+2' Alesson (P) ⚽ 120+3' Carlos Eduardo (P) ⚽ 120+4' Neto Moura (P) ⚽ 120+5' Bruno Santos (P)
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 23 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Denilson
    MIR
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ricardo Adé
    LDU
  3. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Chico
    MIR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Chico · assist Neto Moura
    MIR
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Mina · assist Juan Rodríguez
    LDU
  6. 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Janner Corozo · assist Deyverson
    LDU
  7. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    André Luis
    MIR
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sebastián González · assist Alexander Alvarado
    LDU
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Shaylon · assist Alesson
    MIR
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Josué Cuero · assist Gian Franco Allala
    LDU
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    André Luis · assist Bruno Santos
    MIR
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fernandinho · assist Carlos Eduardo
    MIR
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Denilson · assist Japa
    MIR
  14. 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Victor Luis
    MIR
  15. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Deyverson
    LDU
  16. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Alesson
    MIR
  17. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Jesús Pretell
    LDU
  18. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Carlos Eduardo
    MIR
  19. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Michael Estrada
    LDU
  20. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Neto Moura
    MIR
  21. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Gian Franco Allala
    LDU
  22. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Bruno Santos
    MIR
  23. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Fernando Cornejo
    LDU
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
1
GONZALO V
27
RUDDY MIN
11
MICHAEL E
13
JANNER CO
5
SEBASTIáN
8
JESúS PRE
20
FERNANDO
67
JOSé CARA
44
LUIS SEGO
4
RICARDO A
28
JOSUé CUE
22
WALTER
99
ANDRé LUI
44
GABRIEL K
20
DANIEL BO
17
FERNANDIN
7
SHAYLON
12
VICTOR LU
3
WILLIAN M
8
DENILSON
10
CHICO
2
LUCAS OLI
SUBSTITUTES · LDU DE QUITO
77
Kevin Velasc...
F
7
Rodney Redes
F
10
Alexander Al...
M
26
Ivan Zambran...
M
99
Alejandro To...
M
31
Juan Rodrígu...
M
32
Edison Gomez
M
3
Richard Mina
D
30
Gian Franco...
D
25
Patrick Orti...
M
22
Alexander Do...
G
16
Deyverson
F
COACH: Gustavo Alvarez
SUBSTITUTES · MIRASSOL
77
Alesson
F
96
Carlos Eduar...
F
5
Japa
M
25
Neto Moura
M
34
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
D
90
Thomazella
G
23
Alex Muralha
G
30
Bruno Santos
F
COACH: Guanaes Rafael
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LDU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
—
LDU MANAGER
Gustavo Alvarez
head coach
MIR MANAGER
Guanaes Rafael
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
LDU WINS
2
DRAWS
1
MIR WINS
25%
50%
25%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
13 Aug 2026
Mirassol
1 – 1
LDU de Quito
D
07 May 2026
Mirassol
2 – 0
LDU de Quito
L
15 Apr 2026
LDU de Quito
2 – 0
Mirassol
W
LDU DE QUITO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MIRASSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
LDU DE QUITO #1
Lost · already at 12 pts
MIRASSOL #2
Lost · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Fernando Cornejo
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Bruno Santos
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Gian Franco Allala
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Neto Moura
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Michael Estrada
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Carlos Eduardo
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Jesús Pretell
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Alesson
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Deyverson
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Victor Luis
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Denilson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fernandinho
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · André Luis
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Josué Cuero
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Shaylon
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sebastián González
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · André Luis
    Roughing
  • 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Janner Corozo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Mina
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Chico
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Chico
    Tripping
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ricardo Adé
    Tripping
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Denilson
    Roughing
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LDU DE QUITO WIN
1.57
63.7% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
3.74
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.95
MIRASSOL WIN
6.28
15.9% implied
↑ best 6.63

Market favors LDU de Quito. AI projects LDU DE QUITO 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LDU DE QUITO 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.56 3.65 6.40 +0.4%
1xBet 1.58 3.84 6.63 +0.9%
888Sport 1.57 3.50 6.00 -0.7%
Bet365 1.57 3.75 6.50 +0.6%
Betano 1.62 3.95 6.60 +0.8%
Betfair 1.55 3.70 6.50 +0.6%
BetVictor 1.55 3.80 6.50 +0.6%
Dafabet 1.60 3.95 6.20 +0.7%
Marathonbet 1.54 3.74 6.45 +0.5%
Pinnacle 1.58 3.84 6.57 +0.8%
SBO 1.54 3.50 5.22 -2.6%
Superbet 1.60 3.85 5.90 +0.0%
Unibet 1.54 3.75 6.40 +0.4%
William Hill 1.57 3.50 6.00 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 3.05
2.5 O 2.13 U 1.69
3.5 O 3.82 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.11 11 bks
NO
1.66 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.98
Away -0.5 2.38
Away -0.75 2.08
Away -1 1.78
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.