GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MIRASSOL 58%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · THU, 07 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
MIRASSOL
2ND · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LDU DE QUITO
W W L W W
· 1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 47' Lucas Oliveira ⚽ 61' Reinaldo (P)
GOALS
Denilson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Denilson
Mirassol · 83 mins
· 40% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.16
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.24
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
6
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
7
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gian Franco Allala
    LDU
  2. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lucas Oliveira
    MIR
  3. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yerlin Quinonez
    LDU
  4. 61'
    Goal · Penalty
    Reinaldo
    MIR
  5. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Quintero · assist Ricardo Adé
    LDU
  6. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gabriel Villamil · assist Alejandro Tobar
    LDU
  7. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Deyverson · assist Michael Estrada
    LDU
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Carlos Eduardo · assist Antonio Galeano
    MIR
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Everton Galdino · assist André Luis
    MIR
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Segovia
    LDU
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shaylon · assist Eduardo
    MIR
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Denilson · assist Yuri Lara
    MIR
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fernando Cornejo · assist Kevin Minda
    LDU
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jeison Medina · assist Rodney Redes
    LDU
  15. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Edson Carioca · assist Rodrigues
    MIR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MIRASSOL AVG 7.3
LDU DE QUITO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.2
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
391.0
PASSES
360.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
0.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MIRASSOL 9 shots
Reinaldo
2/3
Lucas Oliveira
1/2
Carlos Eduardo
0/2
Everton Galdino
1/2
LDU DE QUITO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.16 – 0.24
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 47' 61' H 2.16 A 0.24 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
4-2-3-1
5-3-2
22
WALTER
 7.3
6
REINALDO
3
WILLIAN M
 7.3
2
LUCAS OLI
32
IGOR FORM
 7.5
8
DENILSON
25
NETO MOUR
95
EDSON CAR
7
SHAYLON
 7.3
96
CARLOS ED
 7.2
17
EVERTON G
 7.2
1
GONZALO V
23
YERLIN QU
33
LEONEL QU
44
LUIS SEGO
30
GIAN FRAN
14
JOSé QUIN
15
GABRIEL V
 6.9
8
JESúS PRE
20
FERNANDO
 6.9
16
DEYVERSON
 6.7
9
JEISON ME
SUBSTITUTES · MIRASSOL
26
Lucas Mugni
M
10
Chico
M
5
Yuri
M
9
Nathan Fogaç...
F
21
José Aldo
M
33
Eduardo
M
12
Victor Luis
D
97
Rodrigues
D
20
Daniel Borge...
D
23
Alex Muralha
G
27
Antonio Gale...
F
99
André Luis
F
COACH: Guanaes Rafael
SUBSTITUTES · LDU DE QUITO
10
Alexander Al...
M
32
Edison Gomez
M
24
Jandry Calle
M
7
Rodney Redes
F
21
Ederson Cast...
M
5
Kevin Minda
M
26
Josue Caiced...
D
22
Alexander Do...
G
11
Michael Estr...
F
99
Alejandro To...
M
4
Ricardo Adé
D
27
Ruddy Mina
M
COACH: Nunes Tiago
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LDU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alexis Herrera, Venezuela
—
MIR MANAGER
Guanaes Rafael
head coach
LDU MANAGER
Nunes Tiago
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
MIR WINS
0
DRAWS
1
LDU WINS
100%
0 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
15 Apr 2026
LDU de Quito
2 – 0
Mirassol
L
MIRASSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
LDU DE QUITO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
MIRASSOL #2
Won · already at 12 pts
Playoffs
LDU DE QUITO #1
Lost · already at 12 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Edson Carioca
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jeison Medina
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fernando Cornejo
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Denilson
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shaylon
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Segovia
    Tripping
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Everton Galdino
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Carlos Eduardo
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Deyverson
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gabriel Villamil
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Quintero
  • 61'
    Goal · Penalty · Reinaldo
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yerlin Quinonez
    Diving
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lucas Oliveira
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gian Franco Allala
    Holding
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MIRASSOL WIN
1.53
65.4% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.20
LDU DE QUITO WIN
6.40
15.6% implied
↑ best 7.00

Market favors Mirassol. AI projects MIRASSOL 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MIRASSOL 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 3.85 6.40 +2.4%
1xBet 1.56 3.99 6.58 +2.8%
888Sport 1.53 3.70 6.00 +1.3%
Bet365 1.55 4.00 6.25 +2.0%
Betano 1.62 4.00 6.50 +2.6%
Betfair 1.50 3.80 6.50 +2.6%
BetVictor 1.53 4.00 6.50 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.53 4.20 6.60 +2.8%
Marathonbet 1.52 3.88 6.40 +2.4%
Pinnacle 1.53 4.08 6.91 +3.5%
SBO 1.49 3.61 5.61 +0.2%
Unibet 1.48 4.10 7.00 +3.7%
William Hill 1.53 3.70 6.00 +1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.33 U 3.13
2.5 O 2.06 U 1.74
3.5 O 3.69 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.10 10 bks
NO
1.66 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.13
Away -0.5 2.45
Away -0.75 2.16
Away -1 1.85
Away -1.25 1.62
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.