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Bundesliga · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 29 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
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STURM GRAZ
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
AUSTRIA VIENNA
⚽ 85' Paul-Friedrich Koller
GOALS
⚽ 54' Tin Plavotić
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
STU
1 – 1
AUS
most likely scoreline · 14.1% probability
AI PICKS AUSTRIA VIENNA TO WIN 37%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
STU WIN 28%
DRAW 35%
AUS WIN 37%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 72% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 72% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Austria Vienna lead 1-0 with 26 minutes remaining; Sturm Graz must equalize but limited time favors away side.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY STURM GRAZ CHALLENGED
28%
Austria Vienna 1-0 up at minute 64 — ~26 min for Sturm to equalize
CONTEXT
No recent form data available — relying on live state dominance
CONTEXT
Sturm Graz home advantage provides slight comeback odds, but late deficit difficult to overturn
CONTEXT
WHY AUSTRIA VIENNA FAVORED
37%
Austria Vienna 1-0 up at minute 64 — ~26 min for Sturm to equalize
CONTEXT
No recent form data available — relying on live state dominance
CONTEXT
Sturm Graz home advantage provides slight comeback odds, but late deficit difficult to overturn
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Austria Vienna 1-0 up at minute 64 — ~26 min for Sturm to equalize
  • No recent form data available — relying on live state dominance
  • Sturm Graz home advantage provides slight comeback odds, but late deficit difficult to overturn
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 54' TIN PLAVOT ⚽ 85' PAUL-FRIED
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
14.1
7.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
·
1
13.0
13.5
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.2
6.5
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.0
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 14.1%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.0%
0 — 2 7.3%
Top 5 = 61.4% · rest 38.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.20
37.0%
2.70
+18.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
72.0%
1.39
+18.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.26
35.0%
2.86
+14.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.81
58.0%
1.72
+4.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.04
42.0%
2.38
-14.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
65.0%
1.54
-15.5%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
63.0%
1.59
-16.8%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
28.0%
3.57
-38.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.