GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · AUSTRIA VIENNA 37%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 29 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
STURM GRAZ
LAST 5:
W W L L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
AUSTRIA VIENNA
L W W W W
· LAST 5
⚽ 85' Paul-Friedrich Koller
GOALS
⚽ 54' Tin Plavotić
Paul-Friedrich Koller
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Paul-Friedrich Koller
Sturm Graz · 98 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 38% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.08
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.13
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
7
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
57%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tin Plavotić · assist Lee Tae-seok
    AUS
  2. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Philipp Maybach · assist Florian Wustinger
    AUS
  3. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Seedy Jatta · assist Axel Kayombo
    STU
  4. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Maurice Malone · assist Ryan Fosso
    STU
  5. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Axel Kayombo
    STU
  6. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sanel Saljic · assist Vasilije Markovic
    AUS
  7. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Manfred Fischer · assist Johannes Eggestein
    AUS
  8. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kelvin Boateng
    AUS
  9. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Emir Karić · assist R. Wilson
    STU
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Emanuel Aiwu · assist Jusuf Gazibegović
    STU
  11. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Paul-Friedrich Koller · assist Gizo Mamageishvili
    STU
  12. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lee Tae-seok · assist Matteo Schablas
    AUS
  13. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lee Kang-hee · assist Johannes Handl
    AUS
  14. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Johannes Eggestein
    AUS
  15. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jusuf Gazibegović
    STU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STURM GRAZ AVG 7.6
AUSTRIA VIENNA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
1.1
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
7.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
418.0
PASSES
259.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
57.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STURM GRAZ 4 shots
Otar Kiteishvili
2/3
Paul-Friedrich Koller
1/1
AUSTRIA VIENNA 3 shots
Tin Plavotić
1/1
Lee Tae-seok
0/1
Manfred Fischer
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.08 – 1.13
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 85' 54' H 1.08 A 1.13 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-1-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
3-1-4-2
3-4-2-1
53
DANIIL KH
 8.9
30
PAUL-FRIE
47
EMANUEL A
 7.3
5
ALBERT VA
 7.0
4
JON STANK
 7.0
17
EMIR KARI
15
GIZO MAMA
 7.6
10
OTAR KITE
43
JACOB HöD
20
SEEDY JAT
77
MAURICE M
 7.9
1
SAMUEL SA
 7.9
24
TIN PLAVO
15
ALEKSANDA
28
PHILIPP W
 7.6
17
LEE TAE-S
6
PHILIPP M
 6.7
16
LEE KANG-
26
REINHOLD
20
SANEL SAL
 7.0
30
MANFRED F
14
KELVIN BO
SUBSTITUTES · STURM GRAZ
39
Luca Weinhan...
M
34
Bastian Maie...
M
35
Niklas Geyrh...
D
40
Matteo Bigne...
G
9
Rory Wilson
F
22
Jusuf Gazibe...
D
80
Ryan Fosso
M
11
Axel Kayombo
F
25
Stefan Hierl...
M
COACH: Fabio Ingolitsch
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTRIA VIENNA
37
Daniel Nnodi...
M
60
Dejan Radonj...
D
13
Lukas Wedl
G
40
Matteo Schab...
D
46
Johannes Han...
D
19
Johannes Egg...
F
36
Vasilije Mar...
M
22
Florian Wust...
M
47
Kante Abdoul...
F
COACH: Stephan Helm
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Stefan Ebner, Austria
—
STU MANAGER
Fabio Ingolitsch
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Stephan Helm
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
STU WINS
3
DRAWS
5
AUS WINS
20%
30%
50%
14 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 26
Austria Vienna
2 – 5
Sturm Graz
W
14 Dec 25
Austria Vienna
3 – 1
Sturm Graz
L
14 Sep 25
Sturm Graz
0 – 1
Austria Vienna
L
27 Apr 25
Sturm Graz
0 – 1
Austria Vienna
L
23 Apr 25
Austria Vienna
2 – 1
Sturm Graz
L
STURM GRAZ LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L L
AUSTRIA VIENNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Jusuf Gazibegović
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Johannes Eggestein
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lee Kang-hee
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lee Tae-seok
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Paul-Friedrich Koller
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Emanuel Aiwu
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Emir Karić
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kelvin Boateng
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Manfred Fischer
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sanel Saljic
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Axel Kayombo
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Maurice Malone
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Seedy Jatta
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Philipp Maybach
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tin Plavotić
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
STURM GRAZ WIN
2.21
45.2% implied
↑ best 2.26
DRAW
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.35
AUSTRIA VIENNA WIN
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.42

Market favors Sturm Graz. AI projects AUSTRIA VIENNA 37%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTRIA VIENNA 37% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.30 3.20 +5.8%
1xBet 2.21 3.26 3.26 +6.3%
888Sport 2.20 3.30 3.00 +4.7%
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.20 +5.8%
Betano 2.20 3.30 3.20 +5.8%
Betfair 2.15 3.30 3.25 +6.2%
BetVictor 2.20 3.30 3.30 +6.7%
Dafabet 2.24 3.35 3.25 +6.2%
Marathonbet 2.18 3.26 3.26 +6.3%
Pinnacle 2.26 3.35 3.42 +7.8%
SBO 2.23 3.04 3.02 +3.9%
Unibet 2.25 3.20 3.00 +3.8%
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.25 +6.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.17
2.5 O 2.04 U 1.74
3.5 O 3.58 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.81 10 bks
NO
1.90 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.