GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · AJAX 54%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
SHELBOURNE
34TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
AJAX
W W W W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 24' Rodrigo Freitas ⚽ 85' Sean Moore
GOALS
⚽ 20' Julian Brandt ⚽ 39' Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Anton Gaaei
Ajax · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 55% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

28%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
18
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
4
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Brandt · assist Jorthy Mokio
    AJA
  2. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aaron Bouwman
    AJA
  3. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rodrigo Freitas · assist Evan Caffrey
    SHE
  4. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcos Leonardo
    AJA
  5. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rodrigo Freitas
    SHE
  6. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Anton Gaaei
    AJA
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daley Blind · assist Youri Baas
    AJA
  8. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Julian Brandt · assist Abdellah Ouazane
    AJA
  9. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marcos Leonardo · assist Tolu Arokodare
    AJA
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sam Bone · assist Sean Gannon
    SHE
  11. 65'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Milan Mbeng
    SHE
  12. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Owen Wijndal · assist Caio Henrique
    AJA
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Maher Carrizo · assist Dies Janse
    AJA
  14. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Lunney
    SHE
  15. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rodrigo Freitas · assist Daniel Ring
    SHE
  16. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jonathan Lunney · assist James Roche
    SHE
  17. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    James Roche
    SHE
  18. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Milan Mbeng · assist Sean Moore
    SHE
  19. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    James Norris · assist Will Jarvis
    SHE
  20. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sean Moore · assist Evan Caffrey
    SHE
  21. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sean Gannon
    SHE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SHELBOURNE AVG 7.3
AJAX AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
5.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
28.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
256.0
PASSES
674.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
11.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SHELBOURNE 9 shots
Kerr McInroy
2/4
Evan Caffrey
0/2
Sean Moore
1/1
Rodrigo Freitas
1/1
Odhran Casey
0/1
AJAX 4 shots
Anton Gaaei
1/2
Youri Regeer
1/1
Julian Brandt
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-3-3
3-5-2
4-3-3
19
EDDIE BEA
4
KAMERON L
 7.2
16
ODHRAN CA
15
SAM BONE
18
JAMES NOR
 7.2
23
KERR MCIN
6
JONATHAN
 6.9
27
EVAN CAFF
25
MILAN MBE
 7.3
20
RODRIGO F
17
DANIEL KE
 7.2
26
MAARTEN P
5
OWEN WIJN
17
DALEY BLI
30
AARON BOU
 8.5
3
ANTON GAA
24
JORTHY MO
 7.9
6
YOURI REG
 6.9
8
JULIAN BR
 6.9
20
OLIVER VA
38
MARCOS LE
7
MAHER CAR
SUBSTITUTES · SHELBOURNE
60
Killian Ryan
M
13
Murray Johns...
G
36
Will Jarvis
M
22
Sean Moore
D
44
Daniel Ring
F
55
James Roche
D
2
Sean Gannon
D
56
Joey Ikala W...
F
COACH: Lorcan Fitzgerald
SUBSTITUTES · AJAX
2
Lucas Rosa
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
18
Davy Klaasse...
M
9
Kasper Dolbe...
F
22
Joeri Heerke...
G
1
Marc-André T...
G
36
Dies Janse
D
12
Caio Henriqu...
D
99
Tolu Arokoda...
F
68
Abdellah Oua...
M
15
Youri Baas
D
11
Mika Godts
F
COACH: Michel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SHE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AJA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
—
SHE MANAGER
Lorcan Fitzgerald
head coach
AJA MANAGER
Michel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SHE WINS
1
DRAWS
0
AJA WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
06 Aug 2026
Ajax
3 – 1
Shelbourne
L
SHELBOURNE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W
AJAX LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Sean Gannon
    Foul
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sean Moore
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · James Norris
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Milan Mbeng
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · James Roche
    Foul
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jonathan Lunney
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rodrigo Freitas
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Lunney
    Holding
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Maher Carrizo
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Owen Wijndal
  • 65'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Milan Mbeng
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sam Bone
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marcos Leonardo
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Julian Brandt
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daley Blind
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Anton Gaaei
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rodrigo Freitas
    Foul
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcos Leonardo
    Foul
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rodrigo Freitas
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Aaron Bouwman
    Tripping
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Brandt
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SHELBOURNE WIN
11.63
8.6% implied
↑ best 14.20
DRAW
6.53
15.3% implied
↑ best 7.50
AJAX WIN
1.18
84.7% implied
↑ best 1.22

Market favors Ajax. AI projects AJAX 54%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AJAX 54% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 12.50 6.75 1.16 +13.2%
1xBet 14.20 7.50 1.19 +14.7%
888Sport 12.00 6.00 1.20 +11.3%
Bet365 9.50 5.75 1.22 +10.6%
Betano 10.75 6.30 1.22 +12.1%
Betfair 10.50 6.00 1.17 +11.3%
BetVictor 12.00 6.50 1.20 +12.6%
Dafabet 11.00 6.80 1.19 +13.3%
Marathonbet 13.00 6.70 1.17 +13.1%
Pinnacle 10.88 6.87 1.18 +13.4%
SBO 9.45 5.99 1.15 +11.3%
Superbet 12.00 7.30 1.16 +14.3%
Unibet 13.00 7.00 1.15 +13.7%
William Hill 12.00 6.00 1.20 +11.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.23
2.5 O 1.36 U 2.89
3.5 O 1.97 U 1.79
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.88 11 bks
NO
1.82 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.25 1.09
Away +0.5 1.16
Away +0.75 1.19
Away +1 1.24
Away +1.25 1.41
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.