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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SABURTALO 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 11 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
SABURTALO
LAST 5:
D D L D W
AET
2 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 0-0
LARNE
D L L W W
· LAST 5
⚽ 74' Vakhtang Bedoshvili ⚽ 102' Nika Sikharulashvili
GOALS
⚽ 76' James Simpson
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
11
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sean Graham
    LAR
  2. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava
    SAB
  3. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Montel Gibson · assist Paul O'Neill
    LAR
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ronan Doherty · assist James Simpson
    LAR
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Giorgi Kutsia · assist Andria Bartishvili
    SAB
  6. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nika Sikharulashvili
    SAB
  7. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Vakhtang Bedoshvili · assist Nika Sikharulashvili
    SAB
  8. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    James Simpson
    LAR
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bakar Kardava · assist Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan
    SAB
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Vakhtang Bedoshvili · assist Amiran Dzagania
    SAB
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dylan Sloan · assist Jordan McEneff
    LAR
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matthew Lusty · assist Joshua Ukek
    LAR
  13. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Amiran Dzagania
    SAB
  14. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Giorgi Kobuladze · assist Nikoloz Bochorishvili
    SAB
  15. 96'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jordan McEneff
    LAR
  16. 101'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomas Cosgrove · assist Logan Wallace
    LAR
  17. 102'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nika Sikharulashvili · assist Nikoloz Dadiani
    SAB
  18. 106'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Sean Graham · assist Conor McKendry
    LAR
  19. 106'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dan Bent
    LAR
  20. 112'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nikoloz Dadiani
    SAB
  21. 115'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Z. Natchkebia · assist Eldar Kuliiev
    SAB
  22. 115'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Nika Sikharulashvili · assist Stephen Ende
    SAB
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
8.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
27.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
31
GIORGI MA
5
JEMALI GI
25
ALEKSANDR
40
GIORGI KO
4
VAHID SEL
8
BAKAR KAR
27
GIORGI KU
6
NIKOLOZ D
24
VAKHTANG
10
ZVIAD NAT
19
NIKA SIKH
1
ROHAN FER
4
AARON DON
26
DAN BENT
3
MATT RIDL
23
TOMAS COS
11
SEAN GRAH
6
CHRIS GAL
15
RONAN DOH
30
MATTHEW L
45
MONTEL GI
25
DYLAN SLO
SUBSTITUTES · SABURTALO
16
Revaz Kurtan...
G
39
Giorgi Chan...
D
32
Davit Gogila...
M
35
Saba Avdoevi
M
1
Tornike Megr...
G
17
Stephen Ende
F
23
Eldar Kuliie...
M
30
Nikoloz Boch...
D
9
Amiran Dzaga...
F
14
Abdullahi Ib...
M
11
Andria Barti...
M
29
Lado Chikhra...
F
COACH: Andriy Demchenko
SUBSTITUTES · LARNE
14
Benji Magee
M
8
Mark Randall
M
16
Jacob Carney
G
7
Conor McKend...
M
2
Logan Wallac...
D
22
Jordan McEne...
M
17
Joshua Ukek
M
9
Paul O'Neill
F
47
James Simpso...
M
19
Kevin O'Hara
F
COACH: Gary Haveron
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Rohit Saggi, Norway
—
SAB MANAGER
Andriy Demchenko
head coach
LAR MANAGER
Gary Haveron
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SAB WINS
2
DRAWS
0
LAR WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
04 Aug 2026
Larne
0 – 0
Saburtalo
D
SABURTALO LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D W
LARNE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 115'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Nika Sikharulashvili
  • 115'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Z. Natchkebia
  • 112'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nikoloz Dadiani
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 106'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dan Bent
    Roughing
  • 106'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Sean Graham
  • 102'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nika Sikharulashvili
  • 101'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomas Cosgrove
  • 96'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jordan McEneff
    Holding
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Giorgi Kobuladze
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Amiran Dzagania
    Tripping
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matthew Lusty
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dylan Sloan
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Vakhtang Bedoshvili
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bakar Kardava
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · James Simpson
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Vakhtang Bedoshvili
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nika Sikharulashvili
    Roughing
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Giorgi Kutsia
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ronan Doherty
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Montel Gibson
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sean Graham
    Holding
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SABURTALO WIN
1.65
60.6% implied
↑ best 1.73
DRAW
3.61
27.7% implied
↑ best 3.80
LARNE WIN
5.10
19.6% implied
↑ best 5.50

Market favors Saburtalo. AI projects SABURTALO 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SABURTALO 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 3.65 5.50 +10.6%
1xBet 1.73 3.80 5.30 +11.7%
888Sport 1.62 3.50 4.80 +9.4%
Bet365 1.65 3.40 5.00 +8.6%
Betano 1.65 3.70 5.20 +11.0%
Betfair 1.65 3.60 5.00 +10.2%
BetVictor 1.65 3.70 5.25 +11.0%
Dafabet 1.63 3.75 5.20 +11.3%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.66 5.10 +10.7%
Pinnacle 1.69 3.65 5.01 +10.6%
SBO 1.60 3.32 4.58 +7.9%
Superbet 1.66 3.75 5.45 +11.3%
Unibet 1.64 3.60 5.20 +10.2%
William Hill 1.62 3.50 4.80 +9.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.13
2.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
3.5 O 3.51 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.97 11 bks
NO
1.75 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.64
Away -0.5 2.21
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.39
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.