GOALSENSE
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Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - QUARTER-FINALS · WED, 13 MAY · 21:45 LOCAL
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ROSARIO CENTRAL
AET
2 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME
RACING CLUB
⚽ 65' Gastón Ávila
GOALS
⚽ 41' Matías Zaracho
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 61/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ROS
2 – 1
RAC
most likely scoreline · 11.4% probability
AI PICKS ROSARIO CENTRAL TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ROS WIN 48%
DRAW 38%
RAC WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.42% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

85' tie with Rosario pressing 10-man Racing; late home goal favored but draw fully live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ROSARIO CENTRAL FAVORED
48%
Racing reduced to 10 men (75' red card) — huge advantage Rosario in final 5 min
+25.0%
Rosario strong at home (WWDWW) vs Racing weak away (WDWWL) — home edge clear
+20.0%
1-1 at 85' with Rosario momentum means both late winner likely; SportMonks home 43% undervalues 10-man disadvantage
+15.0%
WHY RACING CLUB CHALLENGED
14%
Racing reduced to 10 men (75' red card) — huge advantage Rosario in final 5 min
+25.0%
Rosario strong at home (WWDWW) vs Racing weak away (WDWWL) — home edge clear
+20.0%
1-1 at 85' with Rosario momentum means both late winner likely; SportMonks home 43% undervalues 10-man disadvantage
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Racing reduced to 10 men (75' red card) — huge advantage Rosario in final 5 min
  • Rosario strong at home (WWDWW) vs Racing weak away (WDWWL) — home edge clear
  • 1-1 at 85' with Rosario momentum means both late winner likely; SportMonks home 43% undervalues 10-man disadvantage
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 41' MATíAS ZA ⚽ 65' GASTóN Á
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.7
9.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.4
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.1
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
·
·
4
4.4
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.4%
1 — 0 10.7%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.2%
3 — 0 8.1%
Top 5 = 49.1% · rest 50.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.57
58.0%
1.72
+48.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
65.0%
1.54
+37.2%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.95
38.0%
2.63
+12.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
86.0%
1.16
+10.7%
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.26
48.0%
2.08
+8.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
62.0%
1.61
-15.6%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
52.0%
1.92
-16.7%
—
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.49
14.0%
7.14
-51.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.