GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ROSARIO CENTRAL 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 65%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - QUARTER-FINALS · WED, 13 MAY · 21:45 LOCAL
ROSARIO CENTRAL
6TH · 141 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
AET
2 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 0-1
RACING CLUB
W D D D L
· 4TH · 144 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 65' Gastón Ávila
GOALS
⚽ 41' Matías Zaracho
Gastón Martirena
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gastón Martirena
Racing Club · 120 mins
· 33% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Liga Profesional Argentina: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.65
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
10
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
66%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Matías Zaracho · assist Adrián Martínez
    RAC
  2. 51'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Alejo Véliz
    ROS
  3. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Cambeses
    RAC
  4. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Baltasar Rodriguez · assist Adrián Fernández
    RAC
  5. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marco Di Cesare
    RAC
  6. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gastón Ávila · assist Ángel Di María
    ROS
  7. 75'
    Card · Red Card
    Adrián Martínez
    RAC
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Enzo Giménez · assist Pol Fernández
    ROS
  9. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adrián Fernández
    RAC
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tomás Conechny · assist Santiago Solari
    RAC
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matías Zaracho · assist Matko Miljevic
    RAC
  12. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Agustín Sández · assist Alexis Soto
    ROS
  13. 96'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marco Di Cesare
    RAC
  14. 96'
    Card · Red Card
    Marco Di Cesare
    RAC
  15. 100'
    Card · Yellow Card
    ROS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ROSARIO CENTRAL AVG 7.5
RACING CLUB AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.7
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
10.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
569.0
PASSES
339.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
66.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
24.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
6.0
0.0
RED CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ROSARIO CENTRAL 8 shots
Enzo Copetti
3/4
Emanuel Coronel
0/2
Ángel Di María
1/1
Gastón Ávila
1/1
RACING CLUB 5 shots
Gastón Martirena
0/2
Matías Zaracho
2/2
Santiago Sosa
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.29 – 0.65
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 65' 41' H 2.29 A 0.65 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-2-2 vs 3-5-2
4-2-2-2
3-5-2
23
JEREMíAS
3
AGUSTíN S
 7.6
13
GASTóN ÁV
46
IGNACIO O
 7.3
32
EMANUEL C
20
VICENTE P
 7.3
5
FRANCO IB
 7.9
11
ÁNGEL DI
16
ENZO GIMé
9
ALEJO VéL
 7.3
22
ENZO COPE
25
FACUNDO C
6
MARCOS RO
 6.7
13
SANTIAGO
3
MARCO DI
 6.9
27
GABRIEL R
 7.3
11
MATíAS ZA
 7.0
36
BRUNO ZUC
20
BALTASAR
 8.3
15
GASTóN MA
17
TOMáS CON
9
ADRIáN MA
SUBSTITUTES · ROSARIO CENTRAL
42
Elías Verón
D
47
Luca Raffin
D
15
Facundo Mall...
D
10
Santiago Seg...
M
1
Jorge Broun
G
39
Fabricio Ovi...
F
31
Federico Nav...
M
29
Marco Rubén
F
2
Carlos Quint...
D
33
Alexis Soto
D
28
Pol Fernánde...
M
26
Giovanni Can...
F
COACH: Jorge Almiron
SUBSTITUTES · RACING CLUB
34
Tobías Rubio
D
44
Gonzalo Sosa
M
19
Ignacio Rodr...
M
46
Alejandro Te...
M
30
Matías Tagli...
G
7
Duván Vergar...
F
23
Nazareno Col...
D
18
Franco Pardo
D
28
Santiago Sol...
F
10
Matko Miljev...
M
24
Adrián Ferná...
M
58
Tomás Pérez
F
COACH: Gustavo Costas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ROS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

RAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Dario Herrera, Argentina
—
ROS MANAGER
Jorge Almiron
head coach
RAC MANAGER
Gustavo Costas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
ROS WINS
4
DRAWS
3
RAC WINS
22.2%
44.4%
33.3%
11 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Jan 2026
Racing Club
1 – 2
Rosario Central
W
30 Nov 2024
Rosario Central
0 – 2
Racing Club
L
15 Jul 2023
Racing Club
1 – 1
Rosario Central
D
01 Oct 2022
Racing Club
4 – 3
Rosario Central
L
23 Oct 2021
Rosario Central
2 – 1
Racing Club
W
ROSARIO CENTRAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
RACING CLUB LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ROSARIO CENTRAL #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Playoffs
RACING CLUB #4
Lost · already at 144 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W W D W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 100'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 96'
    Card · Red Card · Marco Di Cesare
  • 96'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marco Di Cesare
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Agustín Sández
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matías Zaracho
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tomás Conechny
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adrián Fernández
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Enzo Giménez
  • 75'
    Card · Red Card · Adrián Martínez
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gastón Ávila
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marco Di Cesare
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Baltasar Rodriguez
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Cambeses
  • 51'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Alejo Véliz
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Matías Zaracho
15 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 15 BOOKMAKERS
ROSARIO CENTRAL WIN
2.24
44.6% implied
↑ best 2.32
DRAW
2.95
33.9% implied
↑ best 3.05
RACING CLUB WIN
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 4.00

Market favors Rosario Central. AI projects ROSARIO CENTRAL 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ROSARIO CENTRAL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.05 3.40 +5.2%
10Bet 2.24 2.94 3.50 +4.0%
1xbet 2.21 2.95 4.00 +4.1%
1xBet 2.29 2.93 3.64 +4.3%
Bet365 2.25 3.00 3.60 +4.7%
Betano 2.32 2.90 3.65 +4.9%
Betfair 2.20 2.75 3.50 +2.5%
Betfair 2.25 2.88 3.50 +3.6%
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.50 +4.7%
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.50 +4.7%
bwin 2.25 2.95 3.40 +4.1%
Cashpoint 2.25 3.00 3.48 +4.7%
CloudBet 2.25 2.95 3.75 +4.1%
Coral 2.30 3.00 3.50 +4.7%
Dafabet 2.24 2.95 3.55 +4.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.52 U 2.48
2.5 O 2.57 U 1.47
3.5 O 5.21 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.11 16 bks
NO
1.65 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.89
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.