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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
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NEW YORK RED BULLS
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
--
HOURS
:
--
MINS
:
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SECS
Sports Illustrated Stadium
COLUMBUS CREW
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 42/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NEW
1 – 1
COL
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS NEW YORK RED BULLS TO WIN 38%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
NEW WIN 38%
DRAW 28%
COL WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched mid-table teams with poor home form (RBNY) offsetting slight quality edge; draw most defensible.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NEW YORK RED BULLS FAVORED
38%
RBNY home form severely struggling (LDWLL) — only 1W in last 5 at home
+25.0%
Columbus away form also weak (LLLDW) but slightly better trend
+20.0%
Similar seasonal quality (15 vs 12 pts, GD -9 vs -3) — no clear favourite
+15.0%
WHY COLUMBUS CREW CHALLENGED
34%
RBNY home form severely struggling (LDWLL) — only 1W in last 5 at home
+25.0%
Columbus away form also weak (LLLDW) but slightly better trend
+20.0%
Similar seasonal quality (15 vs 12 pts, GD -9 vs -3) — no clear favourite
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • RBNY home form severely struggling (LDWLL) — only 1W in last 5 at home
  • Columbus away form also weak (LLLDW) but slightly better trend
  • Similar seasonal quality (15 vs 12 pts, GD -9 vs -3) — no clear favourite
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.73
28.0%
3.57
+4.5%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
66.0%
1.52
+3.9%
—
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.72
38.0%
2.63
+3.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
72.0%
1.39
-10.3%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.43
62.0%
1.61
-11.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
62.0%
1.61
-11.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.49
54.0%
1.85
-19.7%
—
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.31
34.0%
2.94
-21.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.