GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
8TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L W L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
COLUMBUS CREW
L L L D W
· 14TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 7' J. Hall ⚽ 40' J. Hall ⚽ 78' J. Hall
GOALS
⚽ 22' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 63' D. Rossi (P)
J. Hall
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls · 85 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 12% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
9.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.79
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.51
31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Hall · assist C. Cowell
    NEW
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten · assist Hugo Picard
    COL
  3. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Hall · assist C. Cowell
    NEW
  4. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Taha Habroune
    COL
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Dos Santos · assist O. Valencia
    NEW
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dániel Gazdag · assist D. Rossi
    COL
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Owen Presthus · assist M. Farsi
    COL
  8. 63'
    Goal · Penalty
    D. Rossi
    COL
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Nealis · assist Justin Che
    NEW
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Cowell · assist Rafael Mosquera
    NEW
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Forsberg · assist Gustav Berggren
    NEW
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba
    NEW
  13. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rudy Camacho
    COL
  14. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Hall
    NEW
  15. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Valencia
    NEW
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    J. Hall · assist Roald Mitchell
    NEW
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Taha Habroune · assist Nariman Akhundzade
    COL
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist Amar Sejdic
    COL
  19. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rafael Mosquera
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 7.7
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.8
xG
1.5
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
288.0
PASSES
656.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 7 shots
J. Hall
4/5
C. Cowell
1/1
J. Ruvalcaba
0/1
COLUMBUS CREW 7 shots
Maximilian Arfsten
1/2
Hugo Picard
1/2
André Gomes
0/1
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
0/1
Rudy Camacho
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.79 – 1.51
2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.8 0.0 HT 7' 40' 78' 22' 63' H 2.79 A 1.51 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
34
ETHAN HOR
56
M. DOS SA
12
D. NEALIS
26
TIM PARKE
3
JAHKEELE
10
E. FORSBE
15
ADRI MEHM
 6.9
48
RONALD DO
 7.0
11
J. RUVALC
 9.7
16
J. HALL
 7.9
7
C. COWELL
28
PATRICK S
45
OWEN PRES
25
SEAN ZAWA
 7.0
4
RUDY CAMA
31
STEVEN MO
 7.2
30
HUGO PICA
 7.3
17
SEKOU TID
 7.5
20
ANDRé GOM
 7.5
27
MAXIMILIA
16
TAHA HABR
8
DáNIEL GA
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
37
M. Sofo
F
6
Robert Volod...
D
77
John McCarth...
G
33
Roald Mitche...
F
79
Rafael Mosqu...
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
2
Justin Che
D
5
O. Valencia
D
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
2
Marcelo Herr...
D
12
C. Ruvalcaba
D
21
Y. Cheberko
D
1
Nicholas Hag...
G
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
14
Amar Sejdic
M
10
D. Rossi
M
23
M. Farsi
D
46
Chase Adams
F
COACH: Henrik Rydstrom
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Lauziere
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
COL MANAGER
Henrik Rydstrom
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
4
COL WINS
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
12 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.11
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Columbus Crew
3 – 1
New York Red Bulls
L
30 Aug 2025
New York Red Bulls
0 – 0
Columbus Crew
D
03 Nov 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
D
29 Oct 2024
Columbus Crew
0 – 1
New York Red Bulls
W
20 Oct 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 3
Columbus Crew
L
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #8
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
COLUMBUS CREW #14
Lost · already at 20 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Rafael Mosquera
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Taha Habroune
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · J. Hall
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Valencia
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hall
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rudy Camacho
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Ruvalcaba
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Forsberg
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Cowell
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Nealis
  • 63'
    Goal · Penalty · D. Rossi
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Owen Presthus
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dániel Gazdag
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Dos Santos
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Taha Habroune
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hall
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hall
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
2.90
34.5% implied
↑ best 3.06
DRAW
3.80
26.3% implied
↑ best 4.00
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.30

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW YORK RED BULLS 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.80 4.00 2.18 +52.3%
888Sport 2.70 3.50 2.30 +51.0%
Bet365 3.00 3.90 2.15 +54.7%
Betano 3.00 3.85 2.20 +54.7%
Betfair 2.80 3.90 2.15 +52.3%
BetVictor 2.90 3.80 2.15 +53.5%
Dafabet 3.00 3.95 2.21 +54.7%
Marathonbet 2.95 3.80 2.13 +54.1%
Pinnacle 3.06 3.97 2.20 +55.3%
SBO 2.81 3.62 2.18 +52.4%
Unibet 2.95 3.70 2.18 +54.1%
William Hill 2.80 3.60 2.15 +52.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.53
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.59
3.5 O 2.19 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.42 9 bks
NO
2.67 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.