GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT 25 APR · 13:00 LOCAL
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LYON
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME
AUXERRE
⚽ 19' Roman Yaremchuk ⚽ 66' Corentin Tolisso ⚽ 71' Roman Yaremchuk
GOALS
⚽ 35' Sinaly Diomandé ⚽ 88' Bryan Okoh
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LYO
2 – 0
AUX
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS LYON TO WIN 72%
FT 3 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LYO WIN 72%
DRAW 18%
AUX WIN 10%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
LYON TO WIN

AI consensus across 72% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 72% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Lyon clear favourites on table position and goal differential; Auxerre's relegation-form defence likely breached.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LYON FAVORED
72%
Lyon 4th (54 pts) vs Auxerre 16th (25 pts) — 29-point gap
CONTEXT
Lyon +15 GD, Auxerre -14 GD — extreme quality mismatch
CONTEXT
Auxerre conceding 39 goals this season — exploitable in away trip to stronger side
CONTEXT
WHY AUXERRE CHALLENGED
10%
Lyon 4th (54 pts) vs Auxerre 16th (25 pts) — 29-point gap
CONTEXT
Lyon +15 GD, Auxerre -14 GD — extreme quality mismatch
CONTEXT
Auxerre conceding 39 goals this season — exploitable in away trip to stronger side
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Lyon 4th (54 pts) vs Auxerre 16th (25 pts) — 29-point gap
  • Lyon +15 GD, Auxerre -14 GD — extreme quality mismatch
  • Auxerre conceding 39 goals this season — exploitable in away trip to stronger side
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 19' ROMAN YARE ⚽ 35' SINALY DIO ⚽ 66' CORENTIN T ⚽ 71' ROMAN YARE ⚽ 88' BRYAN OKOH
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
3.6
1.2
0.3
·
·
·
1
12.4
8.1
2.6
0.6
0.1
·
·
2
13.9
9.1
2.9
0.6
0.1
·
·
3
10.5
6.8
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
·
4
5.9
3.8
1.2
0.3
·
·
·
5
2.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
1.0
0.6
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.9%
1 — 0 12.4%
3 — 0 10.5%
2 — 1 9.1%
1 — 1 8.1%
Top 5 = 53.9% · rest 46.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
72.0%
1.39
+17.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.78
64.0%
1.56
+14.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
90.0%
1.11
+3.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
82.0%
1.22
+0.2%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.01
18.0%
5.56
-27.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.29
28.0%
3.57
-36.0%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.25
10.0%
10.00
-47.5%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
28.0%
3.57
-50.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.