GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · LYON 72% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT 25 APR · 13:00 LOCAL
LYON
4TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
AUXERRE
D D D W L
· 16TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Roman Yaremchuk ⚽ 66' Corentin Tolisso ⚽ 71' Roman Yaremchuk
GOALS
⚽ 35' Sinaly Diomandé ⚽ 88' Bryan Okoh
Roman Yaremchuk
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Roman Yaremchuk
Lyon · 77 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Ligue 1: Lyon vs Auxerre
Watch on Youtube ↗
Ligue 1: Lyon vs Auxerre
Ligue 1: Lyon vs Auxerre
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.18
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.81
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
9
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Roman Yaremchuk · assist Abner Vinícius
    LYO
  2. 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Orel Mangala · assist Tanner Tessmann
    LYO
  3. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sinaly Diomandé
    AUX
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danny Namaso
    AUX
  5. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Khalis Merah · assist Corentin Tolisso
    LYO
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tyler Morton · assist Pavel Šulc
    LYO
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marvin Senaya · assist Lamine Sy
    AUX
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fredrik Oppegård · assist Clement Akpa
    AUX
  9. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Corentin Tolisso · assist Ainsley Maitland-Niles
    LYO
  10. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Roman Yaremchuk · assist Corentin Tolisso
    LYO
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Danny Namaso · assist Sékou Mara
    AUX
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lassine Sinayoko · assist Josué Casimir
    AUX
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Romain Faivre · assist Naouirou Ahamada
    AUX
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Endrick · assist Ruben Kluivert
    LYO
  15. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Roman Yaremchuk · assist Nicolas Tagliafico
    LYO
  16. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gideon Mensah
    AUX
  17. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bryan Okoh · assist Sinaly Diomandé
    AUX
  18. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ruben Kluivert
    LYO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LYON AVG 7.8
AUXERRE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.8
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
435.0
PASSES
372.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LYON 6 shots
Roman Yaremchuk
2/3
Corentin Tolisso
1/1
Abner Vinícius
0/1
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
1/1
AUXERRE 2 shots
Sinaly Diomandé
1/1
Bryan Okoh
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.18 – 0.81
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 19' 66' 71' 35' 88' H 2.18 A 0.81 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
DOMINIK G
 7.5
16
ABNER VIN
19
MOUSSA NI
 7.2
22
CLINTON M
 7.2
98
AINSLEY M
5
OREL MANG
23
TYLER MOR
17
AFONSO MO
44
KHALIS ME
9
ENDRICK
 8.9
77
ROMAN YAR
40
THéO DE P
14
GIDEON ME
 7.2
24
BRYAN OKO
 7.2
20
SINALY DI
29
MARVIN SE
 7.7
5
KéVIN DAN
42
ELISHA OW
22
FREDRIK O
19
DANNY NAM
28
ROMAIN FA
10
LASSINE S
SUBSTITUTES · LYON
18
Rachid Ghezz...
F
99
Noah Nartey
M
6
Tanner Tessm...
M
8
Corentin Tol...
M
21
Ruben Kluive...
D
3
Nicolas Tagl...
D
33
Hans Hateboe...
D
40
Rémy Descamp...
G
10
Pavel Šulc
M
COACH: Paulo Fonseca
SUBSTITUTES · AUXERRE
7
Josué Casimi...
F
8
Naouirou Aha...
M
18
Assane Dious...
M
21
Lasso Coulib...
M
27
Lamine Sy
D
4
Francisco Si...
D
92
Clement Akpa
D
30
Tom Negrel
G
9
Sékou Mara
F
COACH: Christophe Pelissier
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LYO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUX · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ruddy Buquet, France
—
LYO MANAGER
Paulo Fonseca
head coach
AUX MANAGER
Christophe Pelissier
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
LYO WINS
3
DRAWS
2
AUX WINS
50%
30%
20%
17 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Nov 25
Auxerre
0 – 0
Lyon
D
13 Apr 25
Auxerre
1 – 3
Lyon
W
27 Oct 24
Lyon
2 – 2
Auxerre
D
17 Feb 23
Auxerre
2 – 1
Lyon
L
31 Aug 22
Lyon
2 – 1
Auxerre
W
LYON LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
AUXERRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
LYON #4
Won · already at 57 pts
Champions League
AUXERRE #16
Lost · already at 25 pts
Relegation Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 +43 69
W W L W W
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 +28 63
D W L W L
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W D W W W
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W W W D L
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 +12 56
W W W W D
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 +18 53
D L W L L
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 +7 51
D D L W W
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 +10 46
W L W W D
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 -5 41
L W L D L
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 -1 38
D L L L W
11 Stade Brestois 29 30 10 8 12 -6 38
D D L L L
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 -7 38
L W W D W
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 -17 34
L D L D L
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 -13 31
D D D D L
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 -22 30
D D D L L
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 -15 25
L D D D W
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 -25 20
L L D D D
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 -39 16
D L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ruben Kluivert
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Okoh
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gideon Mensah
    Foul
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Roman Yaremchuk
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Endrick
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Romain Faivre
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lassine Sinayoko
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Danny Namaso
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Roman Yaremchuk
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Corentin Tolisso
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fredrik Oppegård
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marvin Senaya
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tyler Morton
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Khalis Merah
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Danny Namaso
    Diving
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sinaly Diomandé
  • 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Orel Mangala
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Roman Yaremchuk
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LYON WIN
1.63
61.3% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
4.01
24.9% implied
↑ best 4.32
AUXERRE WIN
5.25
19% implied
↑ best 5.51

Market favors Lyon. AI projects LYON 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LYON 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.59 3.95 5.30 +9.1%
1xBet 1.67 4.32 5.43 +12.1%
888Sport 1.60 3.90 4.80 +9.5%
Bet365 1.65 3.90 5.25 +11.4%
Betano 1.67 4.10 5.50 +12.1%
Betfair 1.60 3.90 5.50 +9.5%
BetVictor 1.60 4.00 5.50 +9.5%
Dafabet 1.65 4.10 5.20 +11.4%
Marathonbet 1.64 4.25 5.35 +11.0%
Pinnacle 1.66 4.02 5.51 +11.8%
SBO 1.62 3.80 4.84 +10.3%
Unibet 1.61 3.90 5.30 +9.9%
William Hill 1.60 3.90 4.80 +9.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.90
2.5 O 1.78 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.91 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.77 10 bks
NO
1.96 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.81
Away -0.5 2.31
Away -0.75 2.04
Away -1 1.77
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.