GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 15:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
LE HAVRE
FT
4 – 4
FULL TIME
METZ
⚽ 5' Mbwana Ally Samatta ⚽ 13' Yassine Kechta ⚽ 52' Yanis Zouaoui ⚽ 61' Fodé Doucouré
GOALS
⚽ 9' Giorgi Kvilitaia ⚽ 45+5' Gauthier Hein ⚽ 54' Jahyann Pandore ⚽ 85' Gauthier Hein
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 76/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LE
4 – 3
MET
most likely scoreline · 4.7% probability
AI PICKS LE HAVRE TO WIN 78%
FT 4 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 4 – 3
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LE WIN 78%
DRAW 15%
MET WIN 7%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
LE HAVRE TO WIN

AI consensus across 78% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 78% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Le Havre holds 1-goal lead at 64'; likely to hold on despite Metz's attacking threat and recent yellow cards.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LE HAVRE FAVORED
78%
1-goal lead with 26 minutes remaining — statistically ~80% win probability
CONTEXT
Le Havre's home form (DDLWW) steadier than Metz's away form (LDLLL)
CONTEXT
High-scoring game (4–3 at 64') suggests BTTS and Over 2.5 highly probable
CONTEXT
WHY METZ CHALLENGED
7%
1-goal lead with 26 minutes remaining — statistically ~80% win probability
CONTEXT
Le Havre's home form (DDLWW) steadier than Metz's away form (LDLLL)
CONTEXT
High-scoring game (4–3 at 64') suggests BTTS and Over 2.5 highly probable
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-goal lead with 26 minutes remaining — statistically ~80% win probability
  • Le Havre's home form (DDLWW) steadier than Metz's away form (LDLLL)
  • High-scoring game (4–3 at 64') suggests BTTS and Over 2.5 highly probable
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' MBWANA ALL ⚽ 9' GIORGI KVI ⚽ 13' YASSINE KE ⚽ 50' GAUTHIER H ⚽ 52' YANIS ZOUA ⚽ 54' JAHYANN PA ⚽ 61' FODé DOUC ⚽ 85' GAUTHIER H
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 8 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 4.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
1
0.4
1.1
1.4
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
2
0.8
2.3
3.1
2.8
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
1.2
3.2
4.4
4.0
2.7
1.5
0.7
4
1.3
3.5
4.7
4.3
2.9
1.6
0.7
5
1.1
3.0
4.0
3.7
2.5
1.4
0.6
6+
0.8
2.1
2.9
2.6
1.8
1.0
0.4
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
4 — 2 4.7%
3 — 2 4.4%
4 — 3 4.3%
5 — 2 4.0%
3 — 3 4.0%
Top 5 = 21.5% · rest 78.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
95.0%
1.05
+62.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
92.0%
1.09
+52.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.59
78.0%
1.28
+24.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
93.0%
1.08
+7.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
85.0%
1.18
+2.7%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.20
15.0%
6.67
-36.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.31
22.0%
4.55
-49.2%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.26
7.0%
14.29
-63.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.