GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–3 · LE HAVRE 78% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 76 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 15:15 LOCAL
LE HAVRE
14TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D L D
FT
4 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 2-2
METZ
L L D D L
· 18TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Mbwana Ally Samatta ⚽ 13' Yassine Kechta ⚽ 52' Yanis Zouaoui (P) ⚽ 61' Fodé Doucouré
GOALS
⚽ 9' Giorgi Kvilitaia ⚽ 45+5' Gauthier Hein (P) ⚽ 54' Jahyann Pandore ⚽ 85' Gauthier Hein
Gauthier Hein
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gauthier Hein
Metz · 90 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 52% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: LE Havre AC vs Metz
Watch on Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.18
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.52
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mbwana Ally Samatta
    LE
  2. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Giorgi Kvilitaia · assist Gauthier Hein
    MET
  3. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yassine Kechta
    LE
  4. 18'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jean-Philippe Gbamin · assist Nathan Mbala
    MET
  5. 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Gauthier Hein
    MET
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alpha Touré · assist Benjamin Stambouli
    MET
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rassoul Ndiaye · assist Lucas Gourna-Douath
    LE
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Urie-Michel Mboula · assist Jahyann Pandore
    MET
  9. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Giorgi Kvilitaia
    MET
  10. 52'
    Goal · Penalty
    Yanis Zouaoui
    LE
  11. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jahyann Pandore · assist Nathan Mbala
    MET
  12. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fodé Doucouré · assist Issa Soumaré
    LE
  13. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fodé Doucouré · assist Godson Kyeremeh
    LE
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yanis Zouaoui · assist Timothee Pembele
    LE
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yassine Kechta · assist Sofiane Boufal
    LE
  16. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Gourna-Douath
    LE
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jessy Deminguet · assist Giorgi Abuashvili
    MET
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Giorgi Kvilitaia · assist Lucas Michal
    MET
  19. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gauthier Hein · assist Nathan Mbala
    MET
  20. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Simon Ebonog
    LE
  21. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Simon Ebonog · assist Daren Nbenbege Mosengo
    LE
  22. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Timothee Pembele
    LE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LE HAVRE AVG 7.5
METZ AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
1.5
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
352.0
PASSES
393.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LE HAVRE 4 shots
Yassine Kechta
1/2
Mbwana Ally Samatta
1/1
Fodé Doucouré
1/1
METZ 5 shots
Gauthier Hein
2/3
Nathan Mbala
0/1
Jahyann Pandore
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.18 – 1.52
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 5' 13' 52' 61' 9' 45' 54' 85' H 2.18 A 1.52 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-5-2
4-2-3-1
3-5-2
99
MORY DIAW
18
YANIS ZOU
4
GAUTIER L
15
AYUMU SEK
7
LOIC NéGO
26
SIMON EBO
 7.2
14
RASSOUL N
45
ISSA SOUM
 7.6
8
YASSINE K
 7.2
13
FODé DOUC
 8.5
25
MBWANA AL
61
PAPE SY
 7.0
4
URIE-MICH
15
TERRY YEG
38
SADIBOU S
7
GEORGIY T
12
ALPHA TOU
5
JEAN-PHIL
20
JESSY DEM
70
BOUNA SAR
11
GIORGI KV
 9.3
10
GAUTHIER
SUBSTITUTES · LE HAVRE
20
Noam Obougou...
F
6
Étienne Yout...
D
77
Lionel M'Pas...
G
78
Daren Nbenbe...
M
17
Sofiane Bouf...
M
32
Timothee Pem...
D
11
Godson Kyere...
F
19
Lucas Gourna...
M
10
Felix Mambim...
F
COACH: Didier Digard
SUBSTITUTES · METZ
39
Koffi Kouao
D
1
Jonathan Fis...
G
19
Lucas Michal
F
9
Giorgi Abuas...
F
35
Jahyann Pand...
F
21
Benjamin Sta...
M
34
Nathan Mbala
F
3
Moustapha Di...
D
COACH: Benoit Tavenot
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MET · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
François Letexier, France
—
LE MANAGER
Didier Digard
head coach
MET MANAGER
Benoit Tavenot
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LE WINS
6
DRAWS
1
MET WINS
30%
60%
10%
12 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 10
28 Sep 25
Metz
0 – 0
Le Havre
D
21 Apr 24
Le Havre
0 – 1
Metz
L
29 Oct 23
Metz
0 – 0
Le Havre
D
LE HAVRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L D
METZ LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–4 · result locked
LE HAVRE #14
Lost · already at 31 pts
METZ #18
Lost · already at 16 pts
Relegation
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 +43 69
W W L W W
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 +28 63
D W L W L
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W D W W W
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W W W D L
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 +12 56
W W W W D
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 +18 53
D L W L L
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 +7 51
D D L W W
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 +10 46
W L W W D
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 -5 41
L W L D L
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 -1 38
D L L L W
11 Stade Brestois 29 30 10 8 12 -6 38
D D L L L
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 -7 38
L W W D W
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 -17 34
L D L D L
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 -13 31
D D D D L
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 -22 30
D D D L L
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 -15 25
L D D D W
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 -25 20
L L D D D
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 -39 16
D L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Timothee Pembele
    Roughing
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Simon Ebonog
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Simon Ebonog
    Roughing
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gauthier Hein
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Giorgi Kvilitaia
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jessy Deminguet
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Gourna-Douath
    Roughing
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yassine Kechta
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yanis Zouaoui
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fodé Doucouré
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fodé Doucouré
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jahyann Pandore
  • 52'
    Goal · Penalty · Yanis Zouaoui
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Giorgi Kvilitaia
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Urie-Michel Mboula
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rassoul Ndiaye
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alpha Touré
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Gauthier Hein
  • 18'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jean-Philippe Gbamin
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yassine Kechta
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Giorgi Kvilitaia
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mbwana Ally Samatta
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LE HAVRE WIN
1.59
62.9% implied
↑ best 1.68
DRAW
4.20
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.50
METZ WIN
5.26
19% implied
↑ best 5.62

Market favors Le Havre. AI projects LE HAVRE 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LE HAVRE 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.58 4.00 5.25 +14.7%
1xBet 1.68 4.33 4.88 +18.5%
888Sport 1.57 4.00 5.00 +14.3%
Bet365 1.57 4.50 5.25 +14.3%
Betano 1.65 4.30 5.50 +17.4%
Betfair 1.55 4.00 5.00 +13.5%
BetVictor 1.57 4.20 5.50 +14.3%
Dafabet 1.61 4.30 5.40 +15.9%
Marathonbet 1.62 4.45 5.35 +16.3%
Pinnacle 1.61 4.25 5.62 +15.9%
SBO 1.55 4.07 5.13 +13.5%
Unibet 1.54 4.25 5.50 +13.1%
William Hill 1.57 4.00 5.00 +14.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.34
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.22
3.5 O 2.62 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.71 10 bks
NO
2.08 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.92
Away -0.5 2.35
Away -0.75 2.11
Away -1 1.84
Away -1.25 1.63
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.