Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - ROUND OF 16 · SUN, 10 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
FT
1 2
FULL TIME
UNION SANTA FE
⚽ 70' Fabrizio Sartori
GOALS
⚽ 34' Brahian Cuello ⚽ 49' Cristian Tarragona
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 82/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
IND
1 2
UNI
most likely scoreline · 12.7% probability
AI PICKS UNION SANTA FE TO WIN 74%
FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
IND WIN 8%
DRAW 18%
UNI WIN 74%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
UNION SANTA FE TO WIN

AI consensus across 74% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 74% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Union Santa Fe's 2-goal lead with 0 minutes remaining — match is essentially over. Lock away win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA CHALLENGED
8%
90' with 2-goal deficit — Independ. Rivadavia cannot equalize
+25.0%
WHY UNION SANTA FE FAVORED
74%
Union Santa Fe's 2-goal lead with 0 minutes remaining — match is essentially over. Lock away win.
+30.0%
Union Santa Fe just survived disallowed goal (VAR handball 90'); defensive composure evident
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Final scoreline 1-2 locked in; no realistic comeback scenario with 0 min left
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 34' BRAHIAN CU 49' CRISTIAN T 70' FABRIZIO S
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 12.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
11.3
12.7
9.6
5.4
2.5
0.9
1
3.7
8.3
9.4
7.1
4.0
1.8
0.7
2
1.4
3.1
3.5
2.6
1.5
0.7
0.3
3
0.3
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 12.7%
0 — 1 11.3%
0 — 3 9.6%
1 — 2 9.4%
1 — 1 8.3%
Top 5 = 51.3% · rest 48.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.55
74.0%
1.35
+163.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.26
78.0%
1.28
+76.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
85.0%
1.18
+63.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
92.0%
1.09
+51.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.34
82.0%
1.22
+9.7%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.03
18.0%
5.56
-45.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
26.0%
3.85
-66.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
8.0%
12.50
-82.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.