AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · UNION SANTA FE 74% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 82 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - ROUND OF 16 · SUN, 10 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
12TH · 123 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W W D
FT
1 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
UNION SANTA FE
L D D L D
· 13TH · 120 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 70' Fabrizio Sartori
GOALS
⚽ 34' Brahian Cuello ⚽ 49' Cristian Tarragona
Mateo Del Blanco
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mateo Del Blanco
Union Santa Fe · 93 mins
🅰 1 assist · 15% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Independiente Rivadavia 1 vs. 2 Union Santa Fe - Game Highlights | #TorneoApertura2026
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.78
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.32
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
10
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
59%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 8'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauro Pittón
    UNI
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brahian Cuello · assist Julián Palacios
    UNI
  3. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cristian Tarragona · assist Mateo Del Blanco
    UNI
  4. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Fernández · assist Gonzalo Ríos
    IND
  5. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ezequiel Bonifacio · assist Juan Manuel Elordi
    IND
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomas Bottari
    IND
  7. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcelo Estigarribia
    UNI
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tomas Bottari · assist Rodrigo Atencio
    IND
  9. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fabrizio Sartori
    IND
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brahian Cuello · assist Augusto Solari
    UNI
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rafael Profini · assist Lucas Menossi
    UNI
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Julián Palacios · assist Claudio Corvalán
    UNI
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luciano Gómez · assist Leonard Costa
    IND
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelo Estigarribia · assist Agustín Colazo
    UNI
  15. 90'+6
    Var · Goal Disallowed - handball
    Mateo Del Blanco
    UNI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 7.0
UNION SANTA FE AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
1.3
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
405.0
PASSES
253.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
59.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 7 shots
José Florentín
0/4
Fabrizio Sartori
2/2
Luciano Gómez
0/1
UNION SANTA FE 3 shots
Cristian Tarragona
2/2
Brahian Cuello
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.781.32
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 70' 34' 49' H 1.78 A 1.32 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
32
Kevin Vázque...
M
27
Diego Crego
M
34
Stefano More...
M
19
Rodrigo Aten...
F
11
Gonzalo Ríos
M
8
Leonel Bucca
M
20
Alessandro R...
M
3
Juan Manuel...
D
13
Alejo Osella
D
2
Leonard Cost...
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
7
Victorio Ram...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
SUBSTITUTES · UNION SANTA FE
7
Franco Fraga...
M
5
Lucas Menoss...
M
43
Emilio Giacc...
M
9
Agustín Cola...
F
23
Augusto Sola...
M
10
Tomás Gonzal...
F
32
Nicolás Paz
D
4
Emiliano Álv...
D
3
Claudio Corv...
D
13
Valentín Fas...
D
40
Lucas Meuli
G
29
Diego Diaz
F
COACH: Leonardo Madelon
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Lobo Medina
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
UNI MANAGER
Leonardo Madelon
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
IND WINS
2
DRAWS
4
UNI WINS
25%
25%
50%
8 11
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.38
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 8
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W D
UNION SANTA FE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Lost · already at 34 pts
Playoffs
UNION SANTA FE #8
Won · already at 21 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W L W L W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
W D D D L
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W D W W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
W W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Var · Goal Disallowed - handball · Mateo Del Blanco
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelo Estigarribia
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luciano Gómez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Julián Palacios
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rafael Profini
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brahian Cuello
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fabrizio Sartori
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tomas Bottari
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcelo Estigarribia
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomas Bottari
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ezequiel Bonifacio
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Fernández
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cristian Tarragona
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brahian Cuello
  • 8'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauro Pittón
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
2.19
45.7% implied
↑ best 2.24
DRAW
3.03
33% implied
↑ best 3.25
UNION SANTA FE WIN
3.55
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.82

Market favors Independ. Rivadavia. AI projects UNION SANTA FE 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UNION SANTA FE 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.24 3.05 3.45 +45.0%
1xBet 2.18 2.99 3.64 +46.5%
888Sport 2.20 2.90 3.40 +44.6%
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.70 +47.0%
Betano 2.18 3.05 3.80 +47.7%
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.60 +46.2%
BetVictor 2.15 3.25 3.50 +45.4%
Dafabet 2.19 3.00 3.55 +45.8%
Marathonbet 2.16 2.99 3.64 +46.5%
Pinnacle 2.21 3.13 3.82 +47.8%
SBO 2.23 2.94 3.11 +41.8%
Unibet 2.12 3.20 3.60 +46.2%
William Hill 2.20 2.90 3.40 +44.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.84
2.5 O 2.26 U 1.61
3.5 O 4.21 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 10 bks
NO
1.79 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.96
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.29
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.