GOALSENSE
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UEFA Super Cup · FINAL · WED, 12 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
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PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
ASTON VILLA
⚽ 20' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 61' Désiré Doué
GOALS
⚽ 45' Brian Madjo
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PAR
2 – 1
AST
most likely scoreline · 11.4% probability
AI PICKS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN TO WIN 55%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PAR WIN 55%
DRAW 26%
AST WIN 19%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.42% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

PSG home advantage and recent stability edge Villa's road fragility; expect open contest with both teams scoring.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PARIS SAINT GERMAIN FAVORED
55%
PSG home form (DWDWW) solid vs Villa away form (WWDLL) — clear split favours PSG
+25.0%
PSG recent mixed (DLWWD) vs Villa strong (WWWDW) — form divergence suggests reversion
+20.0%
UEFA Super Cup single-leg format amplifies home advantage; neither team's season stats available to refine
+15.0%
WHY ASTON VILLA CHALLENGED
19%
PSG home form (DWDWW) solid vs Villa away form (WWDLL) — clear split favours PSG
+25.0%
PSG recent mixed (DLWWD) vs Villa strong (WWWDW) — form divergence suggests reversion
+20.0%
UEFA Super Cup single-leg format amplifies home advantage; neither team's season stats available to refine
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • PSG home form (DWDWW) solid vs Villa away form (WWDLL) — clear split favours PSG
  • PSG recent mixed (DLWWD) vs Villa strong (WWWDW) — form divergence suggests reversion
  • UEFA Super Cup single-leg format amplifies home advantage; neither team's season stats available to refine
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 20' KHVICHA KV ⚽ 45' BRIAN MADJ ⚽ 61' DéSIRé D
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.7
9.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.4
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.1
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
·
·
4
4.4
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.4%
1 — 0 10.7%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.2%
3 — 0 8.1%
Top 5 = 49.1% · rest 50.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
68.0%
1.47
+12.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
62.0%
1.61
+3.7%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.95
26.0%
3.85
+2.6%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
45.0%
2.22
-1.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.18
81.0%
1.23
-4.8%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.88
19.0%
5.26
-7.4%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
55.0%
1.82
-7.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
74.0%
1.35
-9.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.