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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 55% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
UEFA Super Cup · FINAL · WED, 12 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
LAST 5:
D L W W D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
ASTON VILLA
W W W D W
· LAST 5
⚽ 20' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 61' Désiré Doué
GOALS
⚽ 45' Brian Madjo
Désiré Doué
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Désiré Doué
Paris Saint Germain · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 29% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
15
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
0
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
  2. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brian Madjo · assist J. McGinn
    AST
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Maghnes Akliouche · assist Ousmane Dembélé
    PAR
  4. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pau Torres
    AST
  5. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Désiré Doué · assist Ousmane Dembélé
    PAR
  6. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Gomes
    AST
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brian Madjo · assist Tammy Abraham
    AST
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Boubacar Kamara · assist Lamare Bogarde
    AST
  9. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. McGinn
    AST
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. McGinn · assist Alysson Edward
    AST
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    João Neves · assist Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nuno Mendes · assist Lucas Hernández
    PAR
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pau Torres · assist Tyrone Mings
    AST
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    João Gomes · assist Ross Barkley
    AST
  15. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Désiré Doué · assist Senny Mayulu
    PAR
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · assist Lucas Beraldo
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN AVG 7.8
ASTON VILLA AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
587.0
PASSES
363.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 8 shots
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1/3
Désiré Doué
2/2
Nuno Mendes
1/2
Vitinha
0/1
ASTON VILLA 6 shots
Brian Madjo
1/5
J. McGinn
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
39
MATVEY SA
 7.7
25
NUNO MEND
 7.2
51
WILLIAN P
5
MARQUINHO
2
ACHRAF HA
87
JOãO NEVE
 7.5
17
VITINHA
33
WARREN ZA
 8.2
7
KHVICHA K
11
MAGHNES A
 8.2
14
DéSIRé DO
 6.7
40
MARCO BIZ
22
IAN MAATS
 7.0
14
PAU TORRE
3
VICTOR LI
2
MATTY CAS
35
JOãO GOME
8
BOUBACAR
53
GEORGE HE
10
EMILIANO
 7.2
7
J. MCGIN
 6.7
39
BRIAN MAD
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
27
Pedro Ferná...
M
24
Senny Mayulu
M
49
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
29
Bradley Barc...
F
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
12
Lucas Digne
D
21
Lucas Hernán...
D
6
Ilya Zabarny...
D
4
Lucas Berald...
D
30
L. Chevalier
G
10
Ousmane Demb...
F
47
Quentin Ndja...
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
SUBSTITUTES · ASTON VILLA
48
Modou Kéba C...
D
6
Ross Barkley
M
45
Triston Rowe
D
49
Bradley Burr...
M
32
Kosta Nedelj...
D
5
Tyrone Mings
D
60
Owen Asemota
G
42
J. Wright
G
47
Alysson Edwa...
F
18
Tammy Abraha...
F
26
Lamare Bogar...
M
74
Luka Lynch
F
COACH: Unai Emery
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Omar Abdulkadir Artan, Somalia
—
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
AST MANAGER
Unai Emery
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
PAR WINS
0
DRAWS
1
AST WINS
50%
50%
5 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
4.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
15 Apr 2025
Aston Villa
3 – 2
Paris Saint Germain
L
09 Apr 2025
Paris Saint Germain
3 – 1
Aston Villa
W
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W D
ASTON VILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Désiré Doué
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · João Gomes
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pau Torres
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nuno Mendes
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · João Neves
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. McGinn
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. McGinn
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Boubacar Kamara
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brian Madjo
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · João Gomes
    Tripping
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Désiré Doué
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pau Torres
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Maghnes Akliouche
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brian Madjo
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
1.68
59.5% implied
↑ best 1.81
DRAW
3.95
25.3% implied
↑ best 4.36
ASTON VILLA WIN
4.88
20.5% implied
↑ best 5.50

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 55% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 55% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.70 3.85 4.50 +0.0%
1xBet 1.69 4.36 5.17 +3.1%
888Sport 1.67 3.80 4.60 -0.3%
Bet365 1.67 3.90 5.00 +0.4%
Betano 1.72 3.85 5.40 +0.5%
Betfair 1.62 3.90 5.00 +0.4%
BetVictor 1.60 3.90 4.75 +0.4%
Dafabet 1.81 3.80 4.40 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.65 4.33 5.15 +2.9%
Pinnacle 1.68 3.96 4.97 +0.7%
SBO 1.69 3.71 4.46 -1.0%
Superbet 1.74 3.90 4.55 +0.4%
Unibet 1.62 4.10 5.50 +1.6%
William Hill 1.67 3.90 4.80 +0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.32
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.20
3.5 O 2.64 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 11 bks
NO
2.12 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.67
Away -0.5 2.19
Away -0.75 1.99
Away -1 1.71
Away -1.25 1.55
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.