GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MIRASSOL 78%
CONF 75 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · THU, 13 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
MIRASSOL
2ND · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LDU DE QUITO
D W W L L
· 1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Eduardo
GOALS
⚽ 82' Michael Estrada
Eduardo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Eduardo
Mirassol · 78 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.73
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.87
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eduardo · assist Edson Carioca
    MIR
  2. 35'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yerlin Quinonez
    LDU
  3. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Neto Moura
    MIR
  4. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Japa
    MIR
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Japa · assist Wallisson Luiz
    MIR
  6. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alesson · assist Fernandinho
    MIR
  7. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Neto Moura · assist Denilson
    MIR
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eduardo · assist Shaylon
    MIR
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Edson Carioca · assist Carlos Eduardo
    MIR
  10. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Michael Estrada · assist Janner Corozo
    LDU
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Michael Estrada · assist Deyverson
    LDU
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sebastián González · assist Alexander Alvarado
    LDU
  13. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fernando Cornejo · assist Juan Rodríguez
    LDU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MIRASSOL AVG 7.4
LDU DE QUITO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.9
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
357.0
PASSES
365.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
16.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MIRASSOL 1 shots
Eduardo
1/1
LDU DE QUITO 7 shots
Michael Estrada
2/3
Janner Corozo
2/3
Yerlin Quinonez
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.73 – 1.87
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 15' 82' H 0.73 A 1.87 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
22
WALTER
6
REINALDO
 7.3
3
WILLIAN M
34
JOãO VICT
 7.2
32
IGOR FORM
 7.3
5
JAPA
25
NETO MOUR
 7.3
77
ALESSON
 7.9
33
EDUARDO
95
EDSON CAR
30
BRUNO SAN
1
GONZALO V
 7.2
67
JOSé CARA
44
LUIS SEGO
4
RICARDO A
28
JOSUé CUE
5
SEBASTIáN
 6.9
8
JESúS PRE
20
FERNANDO
 6.7
23
YERLIN QU
 6.9
11
MICHAEL E
 6.7
13
JANNER CO
SUBSTITUTES · MIRASSOL
7
Shaylon
M
8
Denilson
M
10
Chico
M
99
André Luis
F
20
Daniel Borge...
D
12
Victor Luis
D
2
Lucas Olivei...
D
90
Thomazella
G
23
Alex Muralha
G
17
Fernandinho
F
80
Wallisson Lu...
M
96
Carlos Eduar...
F
COACH: Guanaes Rafael
SUBSTITUTES · LDU DE QUITO
7
Rodney Redes
F
10
Alexander Al...
M
26
Ivan Zambran...
M
27
Ruddy Mina
M
32
Edison Gomez
M
99
Alejandro To...
M
31
Juan Rodrígu...
M
3
Richard Mina
D
30
Gian Franco...
D
25
Patrick Orti...
M
22
Alexander Do...
G
16
Deyverson
F
COACH: Gustavo Alvarez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LDU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alexis Herrera, Venezuela
—
MIR MANAGER
Guanaes Rafael
head coach
LDU MANAGER
Gustavo Alvarez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MIR WINS
2
DRAWS
1
LDU WINS
25%
50%
25%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
20 Aug 2026
LDU de Quito
0 – 0
Mirassol
D
07 May 2026
Mirassol
2 – 0
LDU de Quito
W
15 Apr 2026
LDU de Quito
2 – 0
Mirassol
L
MIRASSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
LDU DE QUITO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
MIRASSOL #2
Lost · already at 12 pts
LDU DE QUITO #1
Lost · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fernando Cornejo
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sebastián González
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Michael Estrada
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Michael Estrada
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Edson Carioca
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eduardo
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Neto Moura
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alesson
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Japa
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Japa
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Neto Moura
    Roughing
  • 35'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yerlin Quinonez
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eduardo
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MIRASSOL WIN
1.68
59.5% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.55
LDU DE QUITO WIN
5.80
17.2% implied
↑ best 6.42

Market favors Mirassol. AI projects MIRASSOL 78%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MIRASSOL 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.69 3.35 5.50 +18.8%
1xBet 1.71 3.40 6.17 +19.5%
888Sport 1.67 3.20 5.75 +18.1%
Bet365 1.65 3.40 6.25 +17.4%
Betano 1.75 3.55 5.90 +20.9%
Betfair 1.65 3.30 6.00 +17.4%
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 6.00 +18.1%
Dafabet 1.71 3.50 5.80 +19.5%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.30 6.00 +17.8%
Pinnacle 1.68 3.44 6.42 +18.5%
SBO 1.71 3.15 4.46 +19.5%
Superbet 1.69 3.55 5.60 +18.8%
Unibet 1.65 3.45 5.60 +17.4%
William Hill 1.67 3.20 5.80 +18.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.44 U 2.65
2.5 O 2.39 U 1.56
3.5 O 4.59 U 1.17
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.23 11 bks
NO
1.58 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.72
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.61
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.