GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FLUMINENSE 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · TUE, 11 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
FLUMINENSE
2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D L L
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
L D D L W
· 1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5
Thiago Silva
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Thiago Silva
Fluminense · Captain · 91 mins
· 84% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.70
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.44
73%
BALL POSSESSION %
27%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
7
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Costa
    IND
  2. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ignacio
    FLU
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Castillo · assist A. Canobbio
    FLU
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hércules · assist L. Acosta
    FLU
  5. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Guilherme Arana · assist Renê
    FLU
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hulk · assist G. Cano
    FLU
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Costa · assist K. Vázquez
    IND
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. Bucca · assist Gonzalo Rios
    IND
  9. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nonato
    FLU
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Y. Soteldo · assist Jefferson Savarino
    FLU
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Nonato · assist PH Ganso
    FLU
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Iván Villalba · assist Alejo Osella
    IND
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maximiliano Salas · assist Alex Vigo
    IND
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matías Fernández · assist Diego Crego
    IND
  15. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Alex Arce · assist S. Moreyra
    IND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FLUMINENSE AVG 7.3
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
0.4
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
27.0%
659.0
PASSES
232.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FLUMINENSE 2 shots
Martinelli
0/1
Guga
0/1
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 2 shots
E. Bonifacio
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.70 – 0.44
0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.0 HT H 0.70 A 0.44 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
7.2
1
FáBIO
13
GUILHERME
 7.3
3
THIAGO SI
4
IGNACIO
 7.3
23
GUGA
16
NONATO
 7.3
8
MARTINELL
35
HéRCULES
30
Y. SOTELD
19
R. CASTIL
7
HULK
 6.9
1
NICOLáS B
 6.9
3
J. M. ELO
 7.0
42
S. STUDER
40
IVáN VILL
 7.0
36
E. BONIFA
8
L. BUCCA
5
TOMAS BOT
2
L. COSTA
10
MATíAS FE
17
MAXIMILIA
9
ALEX ARCE
SUBSTITUTES · FLUMINENSE
2
Samuel Xavie...
D
90
K. Serna
F
11
Jefferson Sa...
F
94
Otávio
M
21
Igor Rabello
D
44
Jemmes
D
27
Marcelo
G
14
G. Cano
F
6
Renê
D
32
L. Acosta
M
17
A. Canobbio
F
10
PH Ganso
M
COACH: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
34
S. Moreyra
M
23
L. Díaz
F
19
R. Atencio
F
43
Fabrizio Sar...
F
27
Diego Crego
M
14
L. Gómez
D
28
Alex Vigo
D
13
Alejo Osella
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
32
K. Vázquez
M
11
Gonzalo Rios
M
7
Victorio Ram...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Cristian Garay, Chile
—
FLU MANAGER
Francisco Zubeldia Luis
head coach
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
FLU WINS
1
DRAWS
1
IND WINS
50%
50%
2 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 2
18 Aug 2026
Independ. Rivadavia
1 – 1
Fluminense
D
07 May 2026
Independ. Rivadavia
1 – 1
Fluminense
D
16 Apr 2026
Fluminense
1 – 2
Independ. Rivadavia
L
FLUMINENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D L L
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
FLUMINENSE #2
Lost · already at 8 pts
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Alex Arce
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matías Fernández
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maximiliano Salas
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Iván Villalba
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Nonato
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Y. Soteldo
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nonato
    Roughing
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. Bucca
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Costa
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hulk
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Guilherme Arana
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hércules
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Castillo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ignacio
    Tripping
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Costa
    Tripping
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FLUMINENSE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.50
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
5.52
18.1% implied
↑ best 6.00

Market favors Fluminense. AI projects FLUMINENSE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FLUMINENSE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.69 3.30 5.75 +6.6%
1xBet 1.73 3.48 5.66 +6.3%
888Sport 1.67 3.40 5.00 +4.0%
Bet365 1.70 3.50 5.75 +6.6%
Betano 1.75 3.50 5.90 +7.1%
Betfair 1.67 3.30 5.50 +5.8%
BetVictor 1.70 3.40 5.75 +6.6%
Dafabet 1.74 3.50 5.60 +6.1%
Marathonbet 1.68 3.38 5.50 +5.8%
Pinnacle 1.70 3.47 6.00 +7.3%
SBO 1.71 3.10 4.56 +2.1%
Superbet 1.73 3.45 5.35 +5.3%
Unibet 1.68 3.45 5.40 +5.5%
William Hill 1.70 3.20 5.50 +5.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.46 U 2.62
2.5 O 2.40 U 1.56
3.5 O 4.65 U 1.17
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.24 11 bks
NO
1.58 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.65
Away -0.5 2.15
Away -0.75 1.88
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.