GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 38%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · TUE, 18 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
FLUMINENSE
D W D L L
· 2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+7' Alex Arce (P) ⚽ 120+1' Matías Fernández (P) ⚽ 120+2' Iván Villalba (P) ⚽ 120+3' Jose Ignacio Florentin (P) ⚽ 120+4' Maximiliano Salas (P) ⚽ 120+5' Alex Arce (P) ⚽ 120+6' R. Atencio (P)
GOALS
⚽ 75' K. Serna ⚽ 120+1' Thiago Silva (P) ⚽ 120+2' L. Acosta (P) ⚽ 120+3' Renê (P) ⚽ 120+4' Hércules (P) ⚽ 120+5' Martinelli (P) ⚽ 120+6' Guga (P)
Martinelli
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Martinelli
Fluminense · 41 mins
· 30% pass acc
RATING
7.1
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
3
TOTAL SHOTS
3
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 31 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hércules
    FLU
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Studer
    IND
  3. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Canobbio
    FLU
  4. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Bucca
    IND
  5. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Canobbio
    FLU
  6. 57'
    Card · Red Card
    A. Canobbio
    FLU
  7. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hulk
    FLU
  8. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Y. Soteldo
    FLU
  9. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Arce
    IND
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    PH Ganso · assist L. Acosta
    FLU
  11. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hulk · assist K. Serna
    FLU
  12. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Serna · assist Hércules
    FLU
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Y. Soteldo · assist J. Millán
    FLU
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Bucca · assist L. Sabato
    IND
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tomas Bottari · assist R. Atencio
    IND
  16. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    E. Bonifacio · assist Alex Vigo
    IND
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Castillo
    FLU
  18. 90'+7
    Goal · Penalty
    Alex Arce
    IND
  19. 90'+8
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. M. Elordi · assist Iván Villalba
    IND
  20. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Thiago Silva
    FLU
  21. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Matías Fernández
    IND
  22. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    L. Acosta
    FLU
  23. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Iván Villalba
    IND
  24. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Renê
    FLU
  25. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Jose Ignacio Florentin
    IND
  26. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Hércules
    FLU
  27. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Maximiliano Salas
    IND
  28. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Martinelli
    FLU
  29. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Alex Arce
    IND
  30. 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty
    Guga
    FLU
  31. 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    R. Atencio
    IND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 6.8
FLUMINENSE AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
0.0
ON TARGET
1.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
99.0
PASSES
247.0
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
4.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 1 shots
Maximiliano Salas
0/1
FLUMINENSE 2 shots
Thiago Silva
0/1
Hulk
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
14
EVENTS LOGGED
17
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
6.8
1
NICOLáS B
3
J. M. ELO
42
S. STUDER
2
L. COSTA
36
E. BONIFA
8
L. BUCCA
5
TOMAS BOT
 6.6
25
JOSE IGNA
10
MATíAS FE
 6.9
17
MAXIMILIA
9
ALEX ARCE
 6.8
1
FáBIO
 6.9
6
RENê
 6.9
3
THIAGO SI
4
IGNACIO
23
GUGA
 7.1
8
MARTINELL
35
HéRCULES
30
Y. SOTELD
10
PH GANSO
17
A. CANOBB
 6.8
7
HULK
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
32
K. Vázquez
M
43
Fabrizio Sar...
F
19
R. Atencio
F
7
Victorio Ram...
F
23
L. Díaz
F
34
S. Moreyra
M
14
L. Gómez
D
13
Alejo Osella
D
28
Alex Vigo
D
40
Iván Villalb...
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
45
L. Sabato
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
SUBSTITUTES · FLUMINENSE
16
Nonato
M
94
Otávio
M
32
L. Acosta
M
19
R. Castillo
F
90
K. Serna
F
2
Samuel Xavie...
D
13
Guilherme Ar...
D
29
J. Millán
D
46
Julio Fideli...
D
44
Jemmes
D
27
Marcelo
G
14
G. Cano
F
COACH: Marcao
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andres Rojas, Colombia
—
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
FLU MANAGER
Marcao
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
IND WINS
1
DRAWS
0
FLU WINS
50%
50%
3 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 2
11 Aug 2026
Fluminense
0 – 0
Independ. Rivadavia
D
07 May 2026
Independ. Rivadavia
1 – 1
Fluminense
D
16 Apr 2026
Fluminense
1 – 2
Independ. Rivadavia
W
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
FLUMINENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Lost · already at 16 pts
FLUMINENSE #2
Lost · already at 8 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty · R. Atencio
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty · Guga
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Alex Arce
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Martinelli
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Maximiliano Salas
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Hércules
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Jose Ignacio Florentin
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Renê
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Iván Villalba
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · L. Acosta
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Matías Fernández
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Thiago Silva
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+8
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. M. Elordi
  • 90'+7
    Goal · Penalty · Alex Arce
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Castillo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · E. Bonifacio
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tomas Bottari
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Bucca
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Y. Soteldo
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Serna
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hulk
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · PH Ganso
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Arce
    Tripping
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Y. Soteldo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hulk
    Roughing
  • 57'
    Card · Red Card · A. Canobbio
    Tripping
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Canobbio
    Tripping
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Bucca
    Tripping
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Canobbio
    Tripping
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Studer
    Tripping
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hércules
    Handling
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
2.57
38.9% implied
↑ best 2.72
DRAW
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 3.05
FLUMINENSE WIN
3.08
32.5% implied
↑ best 3.30

Market favors Independ. Rivadavia. AI projects INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 2.82 3.00 +2.5%
1xBet 2.66 2.86 3.17 +3.0%
888Sport 2.50 2.70 3.00 +1.0%
Bet365 2.55 2.90 3.00 +3.5%
Betano 2.72 2.95 3.15 +4.1%
Betfair 2.60 2.75 3.10 +1.6%
BetVictor 2.60 3.00 3.00 +4.7%
Dafabet 2.46 3.05 3.30 +5.2%
Marathonbet 2.58 2.78 3.08 +2.0%
Pinnacle 2.66 2.87 3.19 +3.2%
SBO 2.36 2.78 2.87 +2.0%
Superbet 2.65 2.87 3.10 +3.2%
Unibet 2.45 2.85 3.20 +2.9%
William Hill 2.50 2.70 3.00 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.58 U 2.35
2.5 O 2.75 U 1.42
3.5 O 5.60 U 1.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.15 11 bks
NO
1.64 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.69
Away -0.5 1.50
Away -0.75 1.33
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.