AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CRUZ AZUL 48%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - SEMI-FINALS · THU, 14 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
CRUZ AZUL
3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D D
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
W L D D W
· 2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 37' Carlos Rodríguez ⚽ 56' Osinachi Ebere (P)
GOALS
⚽ 29' S. Sandoval ⚽ 50' Ángel Sepúlveda
Carlos Rodríguez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Carlos Rodríguez
Cruz Azul · Captain · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Liga MX: Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

102%
BALL POSSESSION %
78%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
16
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
199%
PASS ACCURACY %
272%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ángel Sepúlveda
    GUA
  2. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Osinachi Ebere
    CRU
  3. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Sandoval
    GUA
  4. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Carlos Rodríguez · assist José Paradela
    CRU
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Efrain Alvarez · assist Miguel Gómez
    GUA
  6. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ángel Sepúlveda · assist Miguel Gómez
    GUA
  7. 56'
    Goal · Penalty
    Osinachi Ebere
    CRU
  8. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Omar Campos
    CRU
  9. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ricardo Marín
    GUA
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Omar Campos · assist Luka Romero
    CRU
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ricardo Marín · assist Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
    GUA
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Paradela · assist Andres Montaño
    CRU
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    S. Sandoval · assist Yael Padilla
    GUA
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Castillo · assist Gilberto Sepúlveda
    GUA
  15. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Richard Ledezma
    GUA
  16. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Palavecino
    CRU
  17. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Amaury Garcia
    CRU
  18. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Richard Ledezma · assist Miguel Tapias
    GUA
  19. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Amaury Garcia · assist A. Castro
    CRU
  20. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Osinachi Ebere · assist Mateo Levy
    CRU
  21. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Agustín Palavecino · assist Ivan Silva
    CRU
  22. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andres Montaño
    CRU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CRUZ AZUL AVG 7.4
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
102.0%
POSSESSION %
78.0%
281.0
PASSES
345.0
199.0%
PASS ACCURACY
272.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
14.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CRUZ AZUL 9 shots
Osinachi Ebere
1/3
Carlos Rotondi
1/3
Willer Ditta
0/2
Carlos Rodríguez
1/1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 4 shots
Ángel Sepúlveda
1/2
Miguel Gómez
0/1
Richard Ledezma
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 3-4-1-2
SUBSTITUTES · CRUZ AZUL
193
Karol Velázq...
M
209
Josué Díaz
D
32
Cristian Jim...
M
1
Andrés Gudiñ...
G
214
Mateo Levy
F
197
Ivan Silva
M
170
Ariel Castro...
M
10
Andres Monta...
M
18
Luka Romero
F
194
Amaury Moral...
M
COACH: Joel Huiqui
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
18
Jonathan Per...
M
26
Hugo Cambero...
M
225
Cristian Sam...
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
4
Miguel Tapia...
D
31
Yael Padilla
F
3
Gilberto Sep...
D
67
Sergio Arman...
F
24
Miguel Gómez
D
198
Diego Reyes
M
COACH: Gabriel Milito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CRU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez, Mexico
CRU MANAGER
Joel Huiqui
head coach
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
CRU WINS
2
DRAWS
2
GUA WINS
60%
20%
20%
13 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
CRUZ AZUL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
CRUZ AZUL #3
Lost · already at 33 pts
Playoffs
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
Lost · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
D D W W W
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
D W L D D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
D W W W D
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
W W L L W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Andres Montaño
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Agustín Palavecino
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Osinachi Ebere
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Amaury Garcia
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Richard Ledezma
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Amaury Garcia
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Palavecino
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Richard Ledezma
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Castillo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · S. Sandoval
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Paradela
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ricardo Marín
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Omar Campos
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ricardo Marín
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Omar Campos
  • 56'
    Goal · Penalty · Osinachi Ebere
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ángel Sepúlveda
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Efrain Alvarez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Carlos Rodríguez
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Sandoval
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · Osinachi Ebere
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ángel Sepúlveda
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CRUZ AZUL WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.26
DRAW
3.30
30.3% implied
↑ best 3.41
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.36

Market favors Cruz Azul. AI projects CRUZ AZUL 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CRUZ AZUL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.18 3.40 3.15 +2.6%
1xBet 2.19 3.25 3.24 +2.3%
Bet365 2.20 3.40 3.25 +2.6%
Betano 2.22 3.40 3.15 +3.0%
Betfair 2.15 3.25 3.30 +1.5%
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 3.13 +2.6%
Dafabet 2.14 3.25 3.15 +1.3%
Marathonbet 2.17 3.25 3.22 +1.9%
Pinnacle 2.26 3.41 3.36 +3.8%
SBO 2.17 3.15 3.01 +1.9%
Unibet 2.10 3.40 3.20 +2.6%
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.00 +1.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.52
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.88
3.5 O 3.19 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.04 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.89
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.29
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.