GOALSENSE
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Championship · SEMI-FINALS · TUE, 12 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SOUTHAMPTON
AET
2 – 1
AFTER EXTRA TIME
MIDDLESBROUGH
⚽ 45+1' Ross Stewart ⚽ 116' Shea Emmanuel Charles
GOALS
⚽ 5' Riley McGree
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SOU
2 – 1
MID
most likely scoreline · 10.8% probability
AI PICKS SOUTHAMPTON TO WIN 42%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SOU WIN 42%
DRAW 35%
MID WIN 23%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.54% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 66'; Southampton slight edge from home form + 24 mins to exploit Boro's weak away record.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SOUTHAMPTON FAVORED
42%
Tied at 66'; Southampton slight edge from home form + 24 mins to exploit Boro's weak away record.
+30.0%
Southampton DDWWW home form beats Boro DDDDW away form decisively
+20.0%
Both teams scored already; BTTS likely (market 62%, AI 68%) — 2-1 Southampton most probable outcome
+15.0%
WHY MIDDLESBROUGH CHALLENGED
23%
1-1 parity at 66' with 24 mins remaining — slight home bias in late-game pressure
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 parity at 66' with 24 mins remaining — slight home bias in late-game pressure
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' RILEY MCGR ⚽ 46' ROSS STEWA ⚽ 116' SHEA EMMAN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.6
2.1
0.7
0.2
·
·
1
10.4
9.5
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
·
2
10.8
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
·
3
7.5
6.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
·
·
4
3.9
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.6
1.5
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 10.8%
1 — 0 10.4%
2 — 1 9.9%
1 — 1 9.5%
3 — 0 7.5%
Top 5 = 48.0% · rest 52.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.34
35.0%
2.86
+16.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.41
77.0%
1.30
+8.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
68.0%
1.47
+7.7%
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.43
42.0%
2.38
+2.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
54.0%
1.85
-4.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
58.0%
1.72
-10.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
65.0%
1.54
-15.5%
—
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.85
23.0%
4.35
-34.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.