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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PACHUCA 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - QUARTER-FINALS · SUN, 10 MAY · 23:00 LOCAL
PACHUCA
4TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W D
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
TOLUCA
L W L L D
· 5TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 48' Kenedy
GOALS
Kenedy
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kenedy
Pachuca · 80 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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HIGHLIGHTS AND GOALS - Rayadas vs Pachuca | Liga MX Femenil - Semifinals - Second Leg Clausura 20...
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🌪👹 PACHUCA 2-0 TOLUCA, the 'DEVIL' only has the …
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

80%
BALL POSSESSION %
114%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
17
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
187%
PASS ACCURACY %
404%
1
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 10'
    Penalty · 1-0
    Enner Valencia
    PAC
  2. 13'
    Card · Argument
    Oussama Idrissi
    PAC
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Alexéi Domínguez · assist Oussama Idrissi
    PAC
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Franco Rossi · assist Santiago Simón
    TOL
  5. 48'
    Goal · 2-0
    Kenedy · assist Alexéi Domínguez
    PAC
  6. 56'
    Subst
    Jesús Angulo · assist Marcel Ruiz 
    TOL
  7. 56'
    Subst
    Antonio Briseño · assist Bruno Méndez
    TOL
  8. 56'
    Subst
    Helinho · assist Nicolás Castro
    TOL
  9. 60'
    Card · Foul
    Sergio Damián Barreto
    PAC
  10. 63'
    Subst
    Sebastián Córdova · assist Franco Rossi
    TOL
  11. 68'
    Subst
    Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez · assist Elías Montiel
    PAC
  12. 68'
    Subst
    PAC
  13. 80'
    Subst
    Luis Enrique Quiñones García · assist Kenedy
    PAC
  14. 86'
    Subst
    Sergio Lenin Rodriguez · assist Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán
    PAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PACHUCA AVG 7.5
TOLUCA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
11.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
80.0%
POSSESSION %
114.0%
268.0
PASSES
486.0
187.0%
PASS ACCURACY
404.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
6.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PACHUCA 4 shots
Kenedy
1/3
B. García
1/1
TOLUCA 2 shots
Helinho
0/1
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
25
CARLOS MO
2
SERGIO DA
14
CARLOS AD
12
BRIAN GAR
4
EDUARDO G
16
CHRISTIAN
8
VíCTOR AL
29
KENEDY
28
ELíAS MON
11
OUSSAMA I
10
ENNER VAL
22
LUIS GARC
17
MAURICIO
25
EVERARDO
4
BRUNO MéN
2
DIEGO BAR
14
MARCEL RU
5
FRANCO RO
15
PáVEL PéR
19
SANTIAGO
8
NICOLáS C
29
JORGE DíA
SUBSTITUTES · PACHUCA
187
Gael Arturo...
F
31
José Ángel E...
G
5
Pedro Pedraz...
M
26
Alán Ernesto...
M
7
Luis Enrique...
F
23
K. Piątek
F
21
René López A...
D
18
Alexéi Domín...
F
13
Jorge Ernest...
D
188
Sergio Lenin...
M
COACH: Jaime Lozano
SUBSTITUTES · TOLUCA
33
Víctor Artea...
M
27
Franco Rossi
F
35
Alek Álvarez
D
24
Fernando Arc...
M
1
Hugo Gonzále...
G
11
Helinho
F
10
Jesús Angulo
M
7
Sebastián Có...
M
3
Antonio Bris...
D
206
Érick Orta
D
COACH: Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez, Mexico
—
PAC MANAGER
Jaime Lozano
head coach
TOL MANAGER
Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PAC WINS
4
DRAWS
4
TOL WINS
20%
40%
40%
18 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 May 2026
Toluca
0 – 1
Pachuca
W
22 Mar 2026
Pachuca
1 – 1
Toluca
D
27 Oct 2025
Toluca
2 – 2
Pachuca
D
29 Mar 2025
Toluca
3 – 2
Pachuca
L
18 Sep 2024
Pachuca
2 – 2
Toluca
D
PACHUCA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W D
TOLUCA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
PACHUCA #4
Won · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
TOLUCA #5
Lost · already at 30 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
D D W W W
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
D W L D D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
D W W W D
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
W W L L W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Sergio Lenin Rodriguez
    10th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Luis Enrique Quiñones García
    9th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst
    8th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
    7th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Sebastián Córdova
    6th Substitution
  • 60'
    Card · Foul · Sergio Damián Barreto
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 56'
    Subst · Helinho
    5th Substitution
  • 56'
    Subst · Antonio Briseño
    4th Substitution
  • 56'
    Subst · Jesús Angulo
    3rd Substitution
  • 48'
    Goal · 2-0 · Kenedy
    1st Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Franco Rossi
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Alexéi Domínguez
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 13'
    Card · Argument · Oussama Idrissi
    1st Yellowcard
  • 10'
    Penalty · 1-0 · Enner Valencia
    1st Penalty
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PACHUCA WIN
2.91
34.4% implied
↑ best 3.15
DRAW
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.70
TOLUCA WIN
2.25
44.4% implied
↑ best 2.37

Market favors Toluca. AI projects PACHUCA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PACHUCA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.15 3.60 2.10 +6.3%
1xBet 2.93 3.40 2.29 +3.9%
888Sport 2.75 3.10 2.20 +1.6%
Bet365 3.00 3.50 2.30 +4.7%
Betano 2.95 3.40 2.35 +4.1%
Betfair 2.80 3.70 2.25 +5.0%
BetVictor 2.90 3.50 2.30 +3.5%
Dafabet 2.85 3.45 2.23 +3.0%
Marathonbet 2.91 3.40 2.27 +3.6%
Pinnacle 3.02 3.56 2.37 +4.9%
SBO 2.78 3.26 2.26 +2.0%
Unibet 3.10 3.55 2.12 +5.7%
William Hill 2.75 3.10 2.20 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.06
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.08
3.5 O 2.75 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 10 bks
NO
2.27 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.50
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.