GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Jupiler Pro League · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 40 · SUN, 24 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
ST. TRUIDEN
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME
KV MECHELEN
⚽ 24' Arbnor Muja ⚽ 45+3' Taiga Hata ⚽ 71' Ryan Merlen
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ST.
2 – 1
KV
most likely scoreline · 11.3% probability
AI PICKS ST. TRUIDEN TO WIN 52%
FT 3 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ST. WIN 52%
DRAW 28%
KV WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.43% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early in first half, 0-0; St. Truiden's superior home form and H2H dominance slight edge, but KV Mechelen's decent defensive record and road discipline keep this tight.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ST. TRUIDEN FAVORED
52%
Only 8 minutes elapsed — current 0-0 is noise; league trends and form matter: St. Truiden LDLWW vs Mechelen DDLWL (both inconsistent)
+15.0%
WHY KV MECHELEN CHALLENGED
20%
St. Truiden's home record (DWWLL) slightly better than KV Mechelen away (DLLDL); home advantage real
+25.0%
H2H strongly favours St. Truiden (3 wins in last 5, 4-1 scoreline 26 Apr); KV Mechelen 1 win in 5
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • St. Truiden's home record (DWWLL) slightly better than KV Mechelen away (DLLDL); home advantage real
  • H2H strongly favours St. Truiden (3 wins in last 5, 4-1 scoreline 26 Apr); KV Mechelen 1 win in 5
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 24' ARBNOR MUJ ⚽ 48' TAIGA HATA ⚽ 71' RYAN MERLE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.3
1.9
0.6
0.1
·
·
1
10.6
9.2
4.0
1.2
0.3
·
·
2
11.3
9.8
4.3
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.0
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
·
·
4
4.3
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.3%
1 — 0 10.6%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.2%
3 — 0 8.0%
Top 5 = 49.0% · rest 51.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.88
28.0%
3.57
+8.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
80.0%
1.25
+2.7%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.91
52.0%
1.92
-0.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.52
64.0%
1.56
-2.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
62.0%
1.61
-2.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
48.0%
2.08
-10.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
72.0%
1.39
-11.5%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.45
20.0%
5.00
-31.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.