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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · TUE, 26 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LDU DE QUITO
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME
ALWAYS READY
⚽ 7' Yerlin Quinonez ⚽ 77' Deyverson ⚽ 89' Deyverson
GOALS
⚽ 18' Enrique Triverio ⚽ 40' F. Nava
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LDU
2 – 1
ALW
most likely scoreline · 12.3% probability
AI PICKS LDU DE QUITO TO WIN 68%
FT 3 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LDU WIN 68%
DRAW 18%
ALW WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
LDU DE QUITO TO WIN

AI consensus across 68% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 68% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

LDU favoured at home with superior table position and form split, but thin data and Always Ready's counterattack threat keep this from being a heavy favourite.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LDU DE QUITO FAVORED
68%
Bookmaker odds (70% home implied) slightly overstate certainty given Copa Libertadores unpredictability and lack of season xG data
+15.0%
WHY ALWAYS READY CHALLENGED
14%
LDU favoured at home with superior table position and form split, but thin data and Always Ready's counterattack threat keep this from being a heavy favourite.
+30.0%
LDU leads table (2nd, 9 pts) vs Always Ready (4th, 3 pts); home form WW vs away form LL
+25.0%
Recent overall form favours LDU (2W in last 4) vs Always Ready (1W in last 4)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Bookmaker odds (70% home implied) slightly overstate certainty given Copa Libertadores unpredictability and lack of season xG data
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 7' YERLIN QUI ⚽ 18' ENRIQUE TR ⚽ 40' F. NAVA ⚽ 77' DEYVERSON ⚽ 89' DEYVERSON
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 12.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
·
·
1
11.1
8.6
3.4
0.9
0.2
·
·
2
12.3
9.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
9.1
7.1
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
4
5.0
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 12.3%
1 — 0 11.1%
2 — 1 9.6%
3 — 0 9.1%
1 — 1 8.6%
Top 5 = 50.6% · rest 49.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
7.69
14.0%
7.14
+7.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
54.0%
1.85
+0.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.11
32.0%
3.13
-0.6%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
62.0%
1.61
-1.8%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.21
18.0%
5.56
-6.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.14
82.0%
1.22
-6.6%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.08
86.0%
1.16
-7.6%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.34
68.0%
1.47
-8.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.