GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · LDU DE QUITO 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · TUE, 26 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
LDU DE QUITO
1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
ALWAYS READY
L W L L L
· 4TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 7' Yerlin Quinonez ⚽ 77' Deyverson ⚽ 89' Deyverson
GOALS
⚽ 18' Enrique Triverio ⚽ 40' F. Nava
Deyverson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Deyverson
LDU de Quito · 44 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 3% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.77
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.23
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
22
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
11
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
4
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yerlin Quinonez
    LDU
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Enrique Triverio · assist Fernando Saucedo
    ALW
  3. 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fernando Cornejo · assist Gabriel Villamil
    LDU
  4. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    F. Nava · assist Fernando Saucedo
    ALW
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Quintero · assist Deyverson
    LDU
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Michael Estrada · assist Alexander Alvarado
    LDU
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leonel Quiñónez · assist Josue Caicedo
    LDU
  8. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Rodriguez
    ALW
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Carlos Collazo · assist Juan Pablo Gómez
    ALW
  10. 72'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Gabriel Villamil
    LDU
  11. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Deyverson · assist Jesús Pretell
    LDU
  12. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alejandro Tobar
    LDU
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fernando Saucedo · assist Máximo Mamani
    ALW
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    F. Nava · assist Felipe Pasadore
    ALW
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alejandro Tobar · assist Janner Corozo
    LDU
  16. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Deyverson · assist Janner Corozo
    LDU
  17. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Deyverson
    LDU
  18. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Damian Medina · assist Juan Godoy
    ALW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LDU DE QUITO AVG 8.0
ALWAYS READY AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.8
xG
2.2
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
22.0
7.0
ON TARGET
11.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
292.0
PASSES
255.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
9.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
6.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
9.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LDU DE QUITO 6 shots
Deyverson
2/5
Yerlin Quinonez
1/1
ALWAYS READY 9 shots
Fernando Saucedo
3/5
Enrique Triverio
2/2
Fernando Nava
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.77 – 2.23
2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.8 0.0 HT 7' 77' 89' 18' 40' H 2.77 A 2.23 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 4-2-3-1
5-3-2
4-2-3-1
8.7
1
GONZALO V
 7.9
23
YERLIN QU
33
LEONEL QU
4
RICARDO A
30
GIAN FRAN
14
JOSé QUIN
99
ALEJANDRO
 7.5
8
JESúS PRE
20
FERNANDO
11
MICHAEL E
7
RODNEY RE
1
ALAIN BAR
14
DAMIAN ME
5
MARCELO S
22
RICHET GO
18
CARLITOS
 7.2
6
RAI LIMA
 7.9
20
FERNANDO
10
JESúS MAR
33
CARLOS CO
 7.2
17
FERNANDO
 8.0
9
ENRIQUE T
SUBSTITUTES · LDU DE QUITO
28
Josué Cuero
D
13
Janner Coroz...
F
32
Edison Gomez
M
5
Kevin Minda
M
25
Patrick Orti...
M
3
Richard Mina
D
22
Alexander Do...
G
10
Alexander Al...
M
26
Josue Caiced...
D
16
Deyverson
F
15
Gabriel Vill...
M
27
Ruddy Mina
M
COACH: Nunes Tiago
SUBSTITUTES · ALWAYS READY
16
Felipe Pasad...
F
23
Juan Godoy
F
7
Joel Amoroso
M
19
Dario Torric...
M
21
Alex Rambal
D
15
Dieguito Rod...
D
12
Santiago Paz
G
99
Enzo Rodrigu...
G
8
Juan Pablo G...
M
26
Máximo Maman...
M
COACH: Julio Baldivieso
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LDU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ALW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile
—
LDU MANAGER
Nunes Tiago
head coach
ALW MANAGER
Julio Baldivieso
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LDU WINS
0
DRAWS
1
ALW WINS
75%
25%
9 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 4
08 Apr 2026
Always Ready
0 – 1
LDU de Quito
W
LDU DE QUITO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
ALWAYS READY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
LDU DE QUITO #1
Won · already at 12 pts
Playoffs
ALWAYS READY #4
Lost · already at 3 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Damian Medina
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Deyverson
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Deyverson
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alejandro Tobar
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · F. Nava
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fernando Saucedo
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alejandro Tobar
    Tripping
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Deyverson
  • 72'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Gabriel Villamil
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Carlos Collazo
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Rodriguez
    Roughing
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leonel Quiñónez
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Michael Estrada
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Quintero
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · F. Nava
  • 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fernando Cornejo
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Enrique Triverio
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yerlin Quinonez
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LDU DE QUITO WIN
1.34
74.6% implied
↑ best 1.40
DRAW
5.21
19.2% implied
↑ best 5.75
ALWAYS READY WIN
7.69
13% implied
↑ best 9.00

Market favors LDU de Quito. AI projects LDU DE QUITO 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LDU DE QUITO 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.34 5.20 7.70 +1.0%
1xBet 1.40 5.49 6.89 -0.2%
888Sport 1.33 4.80 7.00 -0.3%
Bet365 1.36 5.75 6.50 +0.6%
Betano 1.38 5.40 9.00 +2.9%
Betfair 1.30 5.00 8.50 +2.2%
BetVictor 1.33 5.25 8.50 +2.2%
Dafabet 1.37 5.40 7.80 +1.2%
Marathonbet 1.36 5.30 6.65 -0.9%
Pinnacle 1.32 5.61 8.61 +2.4%
SBO 1.30 4.40 6.86 -0.6%
Superbet 1.36 5.20 7.70 +1.0%
Unibet 1.30 5.40 9.00 +2.9%
William Hill 1.35 4.80 7.00 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.63
2.5 O 1.58 U 2.33
3.5 O 2.43 U 1.51
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.86 11 bks
NO
1.85 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.77
Away -0.5 3.20
Away -0.75 2.76
Away -1 2.47
Away -1.25 2.05
Away -1.5 1.82
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.