GOALSENSE
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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · TUE, 26 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LANUS
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
MIRASSOL
⚽ 22' Agustín Medina
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LAN
1 – 1
MIR
most likely scoreline · 14.9% probability
AI PICKS LANUS TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LAN WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
MIR WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Mirassol's table position masks thin data; Lanus home form solid but recent slump concerning. Treat as toss-up.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LANUS FAVORED
48%
Lanus home form DWDWW (mixed) vs recent L-L-L-D-W (slump in context)
+20.0%
WHY MIRASSOL CHALLENGED
24%
Mirassol league-leading position (12 pts, +4 GD) but only 2 away games played; small sample
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Extremely thin data: H2H shows only this fixture, no season xG/CS stats, only 5-game form snippets
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 22' AGUSTíN M
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.2
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.9
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.2
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.2%
2 — 0 8.2%
Top 5 = 62.2% · rest 37.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.83
24.0%
4.17
+15.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.45
44.0%
2.27
+7.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.16
48.0%
2.08
+3.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.92
52.0%
1.92
+0.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
72.0%
1.39
-5.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
76.0%
1.32
-11.3%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
48.0%
2.08
-11.6%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.15
28.0%
3.57
-11.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.