GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · LANUS 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · TUE, 26 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
LANUS
3RD · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
MIRASSOL
W W W L W
· 2ND · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Agustín Medina
GOALS
Dylan Aquino
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Dylan Aquino
Lanus · 80 mins
· 38% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.17
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
5
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
10
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Agustín Medina · assist Walter Bou
    LAN
  2. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Cardozo
    LAN
  3. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gonzalo Perez
    LAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Antonio Galeano · assist André Luis
    MIR
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Aldo · assist Alesson
    MIR
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Reinaldo · assist Daniel Borges
    MIR
  7. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lucas Oliveira · assist Lucas Mugni
    MIR
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Everton Galdino · assist Carlos Eduardo
    MIR
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dylan Aquino · assist Lucas Besozzi
    LAN
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Walter Bou · assist Bruno Cabrera
    LAN
  11. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Willian Machado
    MIR
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Eduardo Salvio · assist Matías Sepúlveda
    LAN
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Agustín Medina · assist Felipe Peña Biafore
    LAN
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ramiro Carrera · assist Franco Watson
    LAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LANUS AVG 7.4
MIRASSOL AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
0.2
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
7.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
446.0
PASSES
498.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LANUS 6 shots
Agustín Medina
1/2
Carlos Izquierdoz
0/2
Dylan Aquino
1/1
Sasha Marcich
0/1
MIRASSOL 2 shots
Chico
0/1
Lucas Oliveira
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.29 – 0.17
1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 22' H 1.29 A 0.17 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-1-4-2
4-2-3-1
3-1-4-2
26
NAHUEL LO
 7.2
6
SASHA MAR
13
JOSé CANA
 7.3
24
CARLOS IZ
4
GONZALO P
 7.0
30
AGUSTíN C
 7.6
17
AGUSTíN M
 8.0
25
DYLAN AQU
23
RAMIRO CA
11
EDUARDO S
9
WALTER BO
 7.3
23
ALEX MURA
 7.2
3
WILLIAN M
 7.2
2
LUCAS OLI
 7.7
34
JOãO VICT
21
JOSé ALDO
6
REINALDO
 7.3
10
CHICO
33
EDUARDO
16
IGOR CARI
27
ANTONIO G
17
EVERTON G
SUBSTITUTES · LANUS
16
Matías Sepúl...
M
8
Franco Watso...
M
37
Thomas de Ma...
F
38
Benjamin Aco...
F
27
Facundo Sánc...
D
77
Lucas Besozz...
F
5
Felipe Peña...
M
3
Nicolás Morg...
D
35
Ronaldo De J...
D
33
Tomás Guidar...
D
1
Franco Petro...
G
20
Bruno Cabrer...
F
COACH: Mauricio Pellegrino
SUBSTITUTES · MIRASSOL
96
Carlos Eduar...
F
99
André Luis
F
26
Lucas Mugni
M
5
Yuri
M
7
Shaylon
M
20
Daniel Borge...
D
1
Georgemy
G
90
Thomazella
G
77
Alesson
F
COACH: Guanaes Rafael
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Carlos P. Benitez, Paraguay
—
LAN MANAGER
Mauricio Pellegrino
head coach
MIR MANAGER
Guanaes Rafael
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
LAN WINS
0
DRAWS
1
MIR WINS
100%
0 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
08 Apr 2026
Mirassol
1 – 0
Lanus
L
LANUS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
MIRASSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
LANUS #3
Won · already at 9 pts
Copa Sudamericana
MIRASSOL #2
Lost · already at 12 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ramiro Carrera
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Agustín Medina
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Eduardo Salvio
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Willian Machado
    Foul
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Walter Bou
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dylan Aquino
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Everton Galdino
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lucas Oliveira
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Reinaldo
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Aldo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Antonio Galeano
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Gonzalo Perez
    Foul
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Cardozo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Agustín Medina
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LANUS WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.91
DRAW
3.15
31.7% implied
↑ best 3.45
MIRASSOL WIN
4.83
20.7% implied
↑ best 5.20

Market favors Lanus. AI projects LANUS 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LANUS 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.86 3.05 4.85 +3.4%
1xBet 1.89 3.17 5.04 +4.2%
888Sport 1.85 3.00 4.50 +1.8%
Bet365 1.85 3.20 4.75 +2.9%
Betano 1.91 3.25 5.10 +4.4%
Betfair 1.80 2.88 5.00 +4.0%
BetVictor 1.83 3.30 4.80 +3.2%
Dafabet 1.89 3.30 4.80 +3.2%
Marathonbet 1.84 3.08 4.90 +3.6%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.21 5.20 +4.8%
SBO 1.80 2.97 3.94 -1.4%
Superbet 1.76 3.45 5.15 +4.6%
Unibet 1.79 3.25 5.10 +4.4%
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.50 +1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.47 U 2.58
2.5 O 2.45 U 1.53
3.5 O 4.75 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.16 11 bks
NO
1.62 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.37
Away -0.5 1.98
Away -0.75 1.70
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.