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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · THU, 21 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
PALMEIRAS
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
CERRO PORTENO
GOALS
⚽ 48' Pablo Vegetti
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PAL
2 – 0
CER
most likely scoreline · 13.6% probability
AI PICKS PALMEIRAS TO WIN 68%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PAL WIN 68%
DRAW 20%
CER WIN 12%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
PALMEIRAS TO WIN

AI consensus across 68% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 68% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Palmeiras' perfect home form and H2H dominance favour a home win; Cerro Porteno's weak away record limits upside.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PALMEIRAS FAVORED
68%
H2H heavily favours Palmeiras (3W, 1D in last 4 vs Cerro, scoring 7 vs 1)
+20.0%
WHY CERRO PORTENO CHALLENGED
12%
Palmeiras perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Cerro Porteno's poor away form (WLLL)
+25.0%
League leaders at home in Copa Libertadores typically dominant; bookmaker 74.6% home-win reflects this
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Palmeiras perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Cerro Porteno's poor away form (WLLL)
  • League leaders at home in Copa Libertadores typically dominant; bookmaker 74.6% home-win reflects this
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 48' PABLO VEGE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
3.7
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
1
12.2
8.3
2.8
0.6
0.1
·
·
2
13.6
9.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
10.0
6.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
·
·
4
5.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
5
2.5
1.7
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
0.9
0.6
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.6%
1 — 0 12.2%
3 — 0 10.0%
2 — 1 9.2%
1 — 1 8.3%
Top 5 = 53.3% · rest 46.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
10.68
12.0%
8.33
+28.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.37
32.0%
3.13
+7.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
52.0%
1.92
+4.7%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.01
20.0%
5.00
+0.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.62
38.0%
2.63
-0.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
80.0%
1.25
-7.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.04
88.0%
1.14
-8.3%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
68.0%
1.47
-11.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.