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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CLUB NACIONAL 48%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · WED, 20 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
CLUB NACIONAL
3RD · 8 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W D
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
UNIVERSITARIO
D L W L D
· 4TH · 6 PTS · LAST 5
José Carabalí
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
José Carabalí
Universitario · 90 mins
· 30% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.60
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lucas Rodríguez · assist Luciano Boggio
    CLU
  2. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Caín Fara
    UNI
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emiliano Ancheta · assist Nico López
    CLU
  4. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Juan De los Santos · assist Gonzalo Carneiro
    CLU
  5. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maximiliano Silvera · assist Pável Núñez
    CLU
  6. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Andy Polo · assist Hugo Ancajima
    UNI
  7. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jairo Concha · assist Jorge Murrugarra
    UNI
  8. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lisandro Alzugaray · assist Edison Flores
    UNI
  9. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Baltasar Barcia · assist Tomas Veron Lupi
    CLU
  10. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Héctor Fértoli · assist Jesús Castillo
    UNI
  11. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alex Valera · assist Sekou Gassama
    UNI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CLUB NACIONAL AVG 7.3
UNIVERSITARIO AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
0.6
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
370.0
PASSES
417.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
4.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CLUB NACIONAL 2 shots
Sebastián Coates
1/1
Baltasar Barcia
0/1
UNIVERSITARIO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.29 – 0.60
0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT H 0.29 A 0.60 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-1-4-2 vs 3-1-4-2
3-1-4-2
3-1-4-2
7.7
1
LUIS MEJí
11
MAXIMILIA
9
MAXIMILIA
19
JUAN DE L
23
LUCAS ROD
10
AGUSTíN D
 7.2
30
BALTASAR
21
CAMILO Cá
 7.2
32
TOMáS VIE
 7.3
4
SEBASTIáN
 7.2
13
EMILIANO
 7.9
25
MIGUEL VA
20
ALEX VALE
30
LISANDRO
 8.3
27
JOSé CARA
17
JAIRO CON
8
HéCTOR Fé
16
MARTíN Pé
24
ANDY POLO
 7.3
2
CAíN FARA
3
WILLIAMS
 7.5
4
ANDERSON
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB NACIONAL
5
Juan Pintado
D
15
Paolo Calion...
D
77
Nicolás Rodr...
D
14
Nicolás Lode...
M
2
Agustín Roge...
D
25
Ignacio Suár...
G
27
Tomas Veron...
F
18
Pável Núñez
F
20
Gonzalo Carn...
F
7
Nico López
F
6
Luciano Bogg...
M
31
Rodrigo Mart...
F
COACH: Jorge Bava
SUBSTITUTES · UNIVERSITARIO
29
Aldo Corzo
D
33
César Inga
D
14
Paolo Reyna
D
77
Bryan Reyna
F
5
Matías Di Be...
D
1
Diego Romero
G
90
Sekou Gassam...
F
6
Jesús Castil...
M
19
Edison Flore...
M
26
Hugo Ancajim...
D
23
Jorge Murrug...
M
99
Miguel Silve...
M
COACH: Jorge Araujo
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Dario Herrera, Argentina
—
CLU MANAGER
Jorge Bava
head coach
UNI MANAGER
Jorge Araujo
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
CLU WINS
1
DRAWS
1
UNI WINS
50%
50%
2 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
30 Apr 2026
Universitario
4 – 2
Club Nacional
L
CLUB NACIONAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W D
UNIVERSITARIO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
CLUB NACIONAL #3
Lost · already at 8 pts
Copa Sudamericana
UNIVERSITARIO #4
Lost · already at 6 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alex Valera
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Héctor Fértoli
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Baltasar Barcia
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lisandro Alzugaray
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jairo Concha
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Andy Polo
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maximiliano Silvera
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Juan De los Santos
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emiliano Ancheta
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Caín Fara
    Foul
  • 11'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lucas Rodríguez
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CLUB NACIONAL WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.90
DRAW
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.80
UNIVERSITARIO WIN
5.27
19% implied
↑ best 5.90

Market favors Club Nacional. AI projects CLUB NACIONAL 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CLUB NACIONAL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.63 3.55 5.70 +3.5%
1xBet 1.71 3.62 5.55 +3.4%
888Sport 1.65 3.40 5.00 +1.6%
Bet365 1.67 3.60 5.50 +3.2%
Betano 1.70 3.80 5.90 +4.7%
Betfair 1.90 3.30 4.00 +0.7%
BetVictor 1.65 3.70 5.50 +4.0%
Dafabet 1.71 3.70 5.40 +4.0%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.52 5.40 +2.6%
Pinnacle 1.68 3.65 5.81 +3.8%
SBO 1.84 3.00 3.70 -2.3%
Superbet 1.67 3.60 5.75 +3.6%
Unibet 1.63 3.75 5.50 +4.3%
William Hill 1.65 3.40 5.00 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.36 U 2.99
2.5 O 2.14 U 1.69
3.5 O 3.85 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.03 11 bks
NO
1.72 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.71
Away -0.5 2.19
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.66
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.