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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · UNIVERSITARIO 72% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 76 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 30 APR · 02:00 LOCAL
UNIVERSITARIO
FT
4 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CLUB NACIONAL
GOALS
José Carabalí
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
José Carabalí
Universitario · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

99%
BALL POSSESSION %
95%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
11
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
298%
PASS ACCURACY %
223%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 11'
    Var
    CLU
  2. 14'
    Penalty · 0-1
    CLU
  3. 21'
    Card · Foul
    CLU
  4. 35'
    Card · Foul
    CLU
  5. 43'
    Card · Foul
    CLU
  6. 63'
    Subst
    CLU
  7. 63'
    Subst
    CLU
  8. 71'
    Goal · 2-2
    CLU
  9. 75'
    Card · Time wasting
    CLU
  10. 83'
    Subst
    CLU
  11. 83'
    Subst
    CLU
  12. 86'
    Subst
    CLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
UNIVERSITARIO AVG 7.4
CLUB NACIONAL AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
9.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
99.0%
POSSESSION %
95.0%
378.0
PASSES
296.0
298.0%
PASS ACCURACY
223.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
24.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
8.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
UNIVERSITARIO 7 shots
José Carabalí
3/3
Lisandro Alzugaray
1/2
Caín Fara
1/1
Martín Pérez Guedes
1/1
CLUB NACIONAL 2 shots
Nicolás Lodeiro
0/1
Maximiliano Silvera
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 3-4-1-2
3-5-2
3-4-1-2
25
MIGUEL VA
 7.7
2
CAíN FARA
3
WILLIAMS
4
ANDERSON
 7.9
27
JOSé CARA
17
JAIRO CON
 7.3
23
JORGE MUR
 7.0
16
MARTíN Pé
24
ANDY POLO
20
ALEX VALE
19
EDISON FL
 7.9
1
LUIS MEJí
2
AGUSTíN R
 7.0
4
SEBASTIáN
 6.7
77
NICOLáS R
21
CAMILO Cá
23
LUCAS ROD
6
LUCIANO B
30
BALTASAR
 7.3
14
NICOLáS L
27
TOMAS VER
9
MAXIMILIA
SUBSTITUTES · UNIVERSITARIO
33
César Inga
D
99
Miguel Silve...
M
26
Hugo Ancajim...
D
77
Bryan Reyna
F
14
Paolo Reyna
D
29
Aldo Corzo
D
1
Diego Romero
G
11
José Rivera
F
8
Héctor Férto...
M
30
Lisandro Alz...
F
6
Jesús Castil...
M
90
Sekou Gassam...
F
COACH: Javier Rabanal
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB NACIONAL
19
Juan De los...
F
39
Luciano Gonz...
M
15
Paolo Calion...
D
34
Federico Bai...
M
32
Tomás Viera
D
25
Ignacio Suár...
G
18
Pável Núñez
F
13
Emiliano Anc...
D
11
Maximiliano...
F
8
Mauricio Ver...
M
COACH: Jorge Bava
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Benitez
—
UNI MANAGER
Javier Rabanal
head coach
CLU MANAGER
Jorge Bava
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
UNI WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CLU WINS
100%
UNIVERSITARIO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L
CLUB NACIONAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–2 · result locked
UNIVERSITARIO #3
Won · already at 4 pts
Copa Sudamericana
CLUB NACIONAL #4
Lost · already at 4 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
D W W
1 Rosario Central 4 3 1 0 +5 10
W W W D
1 Mirassol 4 3 0 1 +3 9
W W L W
1 Palmeiras 4 2 2 0 +3 8
W D W D
1 Corinthians 4 3 1 0 +6 10
D W W W
1 U. Catolica 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 4 3 1 0 +5 10
D W W W
1 Deportes Tolima 4 2 1 1 +4 7
W W L D W
2 Independiente del Valle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
L W W D
2 Lanus 4 2 0 2 -3 6
L W W L
2 Cerro Porteno 4 2 1 1 +1 7
W D W L
2 Platense 4 2 1 1 0 7
D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 4 2 1 1 +1 7
D W L W
2 Bolívar 4 1 2 1 +1 5
D W D L
2 Coquimbo Unido 4 2 1 1 0 7
W L W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 4 1 3 0 +1 6
D D W D
3 UCV 4 2 0 2 -1 6
W L L W
3 LDU de Quito 4 2 0 2 0 6
L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 4 2 0 2 0 6
L W L W D
3 Penarol 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 4 2 0 2 +2 6
L L W W
3 Deportivo La Guaira 4 0 3 1 -3 3
D L D D
3 Universitario 4 1 1 2 -1 4
L W L D
3 Independiente Medellin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
W L D W D
4 Always Ready 4 1 0 3 0 3
W L L L
4 Junior 4 0 1 3 -4 1
L L L D
4 Santa Fe 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 4 1 0 3 -4 3
W L L L W
4 Fluminense 4 0 2 2 -3 2
D L L D
4 Club Nacional 4 1 1 2 -3 4
L L W D
4 Cusco 4 0 1 3 -4 1
D L L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 4 0 0 4 -5 0
L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst
    9th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst
    7th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst
    8th Substitution
  • 75'
    Card · Time wasting
    5th Yellowcard
  • 71'
    Goal · 2-2
    3rd Goal
  • 63'
    Subst
    1st Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Card · Foul
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 35'
    Card · Foul
    1st Yellow/red Card
  • 21'
    Card · Foul
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 14'
    Penalty · 0-1
    1st Penalty
  • 11'
    Var
    Penalty awarded
32 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 32 BOOKMAKERS
UNIVERSITARIO WIN
2.29
43.7% implied
↑ best 2.43
DRAW
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.22
CLUB NACIONAL WIN
3.30
30.3% implied
↑ best 3.60

Market favors Universitario. AI projects UNIVERSITARIO 72% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UNIVERSITARIO 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.32 3.00 3.25 +28.9%
10Bet 2.32 3.00 3.25 +28.9%
1xbet 2.43 3.10 3.14 +30.8%
1xBet 2.32 3.06 3.52 +28.9%
888Sport 2.20 2.90 3.40 +26.5%
888Sport 2.20 2.90 3.40 +26.5%
Bet365 2.30 3.00 3.60 +28.5%
Betano 2.30 3.05 3.50 +28.5%
Betfair 2.30 2.88 3.40 +28.5%
Betfair 2.30 3.00 3.10 +28.5%
Betsson 2.28 3.05 3.25 +28.1%
BetVictor 2.30 3.10 3.40 +28.5%
bwin 2.30 2.95 3.30 +28.5%
Cashpoint 2.30 3.00 3.37 +28.5%
CloudBet 2.25 3.05 3.30 +27.6%
Coral 2.20 2.87 3.20 +26.5%
Dafabet 2.30 3.22 3.40 +28.5%
Dafabet 2.37 3.10 3.40 +29.8%
Interwetten 2.35 2.95 3.30 +29.4%
Ladbrokes 2.20 2.87 3.20 +26.5%
MansionBet 2.22 3.05 3.30 +27.0%
Marathonbet 2.30 3.04 3.24 +28.5%
Marathonbet 2.25 2.98 3.42 +27.6%
MelBet 2.31 3.10 3.36 +28.7%
Pinnacle 2.31 3.10 3.38 +28.7%
Pinnacle 2.28 3.05 3.53 +28.1%
Sbo 2.32 2.84 2.86 +28.9%
SBO 2.31 2.78 2.96 +28.7%
Unibet 2.33 3.10 3.20 +29.1%
Unibet 2.35 3.10 3.15 +29.4%
William Hill 2.30 2.80 3.30 +28.5%
WilliamHill 2.30 2.90 3.10 +28.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.46 U 2.57
2.5 O 2.45 U 1.53
3.5 O 4.73 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.02 16 bks
NO
1.72 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.