GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · THU, 07 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
1ST · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FLUMINENSE
W L L
· 3RD · 5 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 66' Alex Arce
GOALS
⚽ 90+1' John Kennedy
Sebastián Villa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sebastián Villa
Independ. Rivadavia · Captain · 94 mins
· 15% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.34
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.75
28%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
72%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomas Bottari
    IND
  2. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hércules
    FLU
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luciano Acosta
    FLU
  4. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Florentín
    IND
  5. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nonato
    FLU
  6. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alex Arce · assist Luciano Gómez
    IND
  7. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guga
    FLU
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nonato · assist Alisson
    FLU
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jefferson Savarino · assist Yeferson Soteldo
    FLU
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hércules · assist John Kennedy
    FLU
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alex Arce · assist Iván Villalba
    IND
  12. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    FLU
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luciano Gómez · assist Juan Manuel Elordi
    IND
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ezequiel Bonifacio · assist Alejo Osella
    IND
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Agustín Canobbio · assist Kevin Serna
    FLU
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matías Fernández · assist Leonel Bucca
    IND
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Fabrizio Sartori · assist Gonzalo Ríos
    IND
  18. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    John Kennedy
    FLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 7.3
FLUMINENSE AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
0.8
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
28.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
217.0
PASSES
597.0
72.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 8 shots
Alex Arce
1/4
Matías Fernández
0/2
Sebastián Villa
0/1
José Florentín
1/1
FLUMINENSE 1 shots
John Kennedy
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.34 – 0.75
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 66' 90' H 1.34 A 0.75 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
NICOLáS B
 7.0
14
LUCIANO G
42
SHEYKO ST
2
LEONARD C
36
EZEQUIEL
 7.3
25
JOSé FLOR
5
TOMAS BOT
 7.5
22
SEBASTIáN
43
FABRIZIO
 7.2
10
MATíAS FE
 7.3
9
ALEX ARCE
 7.2
1
FáBIO
13
GUILHERME
 7.2
22
JUAN PABL
 7.3
4
IGNáCIO
23
GUGA
 6.9
35
HéRCULES
16
NONATO
11
JEFFERSON
32
LUCIANO A
17
AGUSTíN C
19
RODRIGO C
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
27
Diego Crego
M
8
Leonel Bucca
M
34
Stefano More...
M
19
Rodrigo Aten...
F
11
Gonzalo Ríos
M
20
Alessandro R...
M
32
Kevin Vázque...
M
13
Alejo Osella
D
3
Juan Manuel...
D
40
Iván Villalb...
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
7
Victorio Ram...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
SUBSTITUTES · FLUMINENSE
7
Yeferson Sot...
F
90
Kevin Serna
F
10
Ganso
M
94
Otávio
M
25
Alisson
M
2
Samuel Xavie...
D
29
Julián Millá...
D
21
Igor Rabello
D
3
Jemmes
D
6
Renê
D
98
Vitor Eudes
G
9
John Kennedy
F
COACH: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Tejera
—
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
FLU MANAGER
Francisco Zubeldia Luis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
IND WINS
0
DRAWS
0
FLU WINS
100%
2 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
16 Apr 2026
Fluminense
1 – 2
Independ. Rivadavia
W
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W W
FLUMINENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Lost · already at 13 pts
Playoffs
FLUMINENSE #3
Lost · already at 5 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · John Kennedy
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Fabrizio Sartori
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matías Fernández
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Agustín Canobbio
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ezequiel Bonifacio
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luciano Gómez
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alex Arce
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hércules
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jefferson Savarino
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nonato
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guga
    Roughing
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alex Arce
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nonato
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Florentín
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Luciano Acosta
    Roughing
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hércules
    Handling
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomas Bottari
    Handling
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
2.37
42.2% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.01
33.2% implied
↑ best 3.14
FLUMINENSE WIN
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.40

Market favors Independ. Rivadavia. AI projects INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.38 3.00 3.15 +10.0%
1xBet 2.43 3.14 3.22 +10.8%
888Sport 2.30 2.90 3.10 +8.5%
Bet365 2.35 3.00 3.40 +9.4%
Betano 2.45 3.05 3.15 +11.2%
Betfair 2.30 2.90 3.25 +8.5%
BetVictor 2.38 3.13 3.20 +10.0%
Dafabet 2.40 3.10 3.30 +10.3%
Marathonbet 2.38 3.04 3.10 +10.0%
Pinnacle 2.45 3.11 3.23 +11.2%
SBO 2.36 2.86 2.80 +9.6%
Unibet 2.32 3.05 3.30 +8.9%
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.10 +8.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.76
2.5 O 2.30 U 1.60
3.5 O 4.34 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 10 bks
NO
1.78 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.79
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.18
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.