GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
K League 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · SUN, 26 JUL · 10:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
INCHEON UNITED
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
BUCHEON FC 1995
⚽ 84' Morgan Ferrier
GOALS
⚽ 45+3' Juan Ibiza
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 68/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
INC
1 – 1
BUC
most likely scoreline · 14.9% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
INC WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
BUC WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 90' tied 1-1 with minimal time remaining; draw heavily favoured over either winner.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY INCHEON UNITED CHALLENGED
38%
1-1 scoreline at 90' (full-time imminent) — draw is strong baseline
+25.0%
Incheon home form weak (WLWLL) despite league position advantage
+20.0%
Bucheon resilient on road (DDLWL) — hold deserved vs stronger home side
+15.0%
WHY BUCHEON FC 1995 CHALLENGED
14%
1-1 scoreline at 90' (full-time imminent) — draw is strong baseline
+25.0%
Incheon home form weak (WLWLL) despite league position advantage
+20.0%
Bucheon resilient on road (DDLWL) — hold deserved vs stronger home side
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 scoreline at 90' (full-time imminent) — draw is strong baseline
  • Incheon home form weak (WLWLL) despite league position advantage
  • Bucheon resilient on road (DDLWL) — hold deserved vs stronger home side
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 48' JUAN IBIZA ⚽ 84' MORGAN FER
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.2
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.9
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.2
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.2%
2 — 0 8.2%
Top 5 = 62.2% · rest 37.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.41
48.0%
2.08
+63.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.09
62.0%
1.61
+29.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.17
58.0%
1.72
+25.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.14
86.0%
1.16
-1.7%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.17
14.0%
7.14
-27.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
52.0%
1.92
-33.7%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
38.0%
2.63
-35.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.34
22.0%
4.55
-48.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.