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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 48%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
K League 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · SUN, 26 JUL · 10:30 LOCAL
INCHEON UNITED
5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BUCHEON FC 1995
L L D D W
· 11TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 84' Morgan Ferrier
GOALS
⚽ 45+3' Juan Ibiza (OG)
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ju-yong Lee
    INC
  2. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dong-kyu Baek
    BUC
  3. 45'+3
    Goal · Own Goal
    Juan Ibiza
    BUC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Seung-bin Kim · assist Vitor Gabriel
    BUC
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jeong-in Park · assist Galego
    BUC
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gerso Fernandes · assist Lee Dong-Ryul
    INC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kim Seong-Min · assist Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jong-Woo Kim · assist Sung Ye-geon
    BUC
  9. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tae-hyeon Ahn
    BUC
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kim Myung-Sun · assist Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Myung Joo Lee · assist Park Kyung-sub
    INC
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ju-yong Lee · assist Chi-in Jeong
    INC
  14. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Morgan Ferrier · assist Chi-in Jeong
    INC
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rodrigo Bassani · assist Han Ji-Ho
    BUC
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Thiaguinho Santos · assist Bong-hun Yeo
    BUC
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Han Ji-Ho
    BUC
  18. 90'+4
    Card · Red Card
    Han Ji-Ho
    BUC
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-3
4-4-2
3-4-3
1
DONG-HEON
32
JU-YONG L
2
JUAN IBIZ
4
GUN-HEE K
39
KIM MYUNG
11
GERSO FER
5
MYUNG JOO
15
JAE-MIN S
17
SEONG-MIN
99
MORGAN FE
72
CHUNG-YON
21
HYEON-YEO
20
SUNG-WOOK
29
DONG-KYU
3
PATRICK W
26
TAE-HYEON
16
SANG-JUN
14
JONG-WOO
7
THIAGUINH
71
SEUNG-BIN
9
JEONG-IN
10
RODRIGO B
SUBSTITUTES · INCHEON UNITED
10
Dong-ryul Le...
F
6
Ji-hwan Mun
M
13
Choi Seung-G...
D
23
Chi-in Jeong
M
30
Young-whan K...
M
20
Park Kyung-s...
D
3
Sang-ki Lee
D
21
Lee Tae Hui
G
9
Stefan Mugoš...
F
COACH: Jong-Hwan Yoon
SUBSTITUTES · BUCHEON FC 1995
22
Ji-ho Han
F
13
Min-jun Kim
M
63
Vitor Gabrie...
F
24
Kim Dong-hyu...
M
4
Sung Ye-geon
M
25
Bong-hun Yeo
M
93
Lee Jae-won
D
50
Kim Chan-you...
G
11
Galego
F
COACH: Ou-Ghu Kwon
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
INC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BUC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Cheol-Jun Choi, South Korea
—
INC MANAGER
Jong-Hwan Yoon
head coach
BUC MANAGER
Ou-Ghu Kwon
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
INC WINS
1
DRAWS
1
BUC WINS
50%
25%
25%
6 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 4
18 Apr 2026
Bucheon FC 1995
2 – 2
Incheon United
D
INCHEON UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L W
BUCHEON FC 1995 LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
INCHEON UNITED #5
Lost · already at 28 pts
Play-offs
BUCHEON FC 1995 #11
Lost · already at 19 pts
K League 1 (Relegation Group)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Seoul 19 13 3 3 +20 42
W W D W W
1 FC Seoul 20 13 3 4 +18 42
L W W D W
2 Jeonbuk Motors 20 9 6 5 +11 33
W D L W L
2 Jeonbuk Motors 20 9 6 5 +11 33
W D L W L
3 Gangwon FC 19 8 8 3 +12 32
D W D W W
3 Gangwon FC 19 8 8 3 +12 32
L D W D W
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 20 9 4 7 +1 31
W L D L D
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 19 8 4 7 -1 28
L D L D L
5 Pohang Steelers 20 8 4 8 -1 28
L L L W W
5 Incheon United 20 8 4 8 +4 28
D W W L L
6 FC Anyang 19 6 9 4 +4 27
W D W L W
6 Pohang Steelers 20 8 4 8 -1 28
L L L W W
7 FC Anyang 19 6 9 4 +4 27
W W D W L
7 Incheon United 19 8 3 8 +4 27
W W L L W
8 Jeju United FC 19 6 6 7 -2 24
D W D D L
8 Jeju United FC 20 7 6 7 -1 27
W D W D D
9 Daejeon Citizen 20 4 8 8 0 20
L D D D D
9 Daejeon Citizen 20 4 8 8 0 20
L D D D D
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 20 3 11 6 -7 20
W D L D D
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 20 3 11 6 -7 20
W D L D D
11 Bucheon FC 1995 19 4 7 8 -7 19
L L D D W
11 Bucheon FC 1995 20 4 8 8 -7 20
D L L D D
12 Gwangju FC 19 1 7 11 -33 10
D D L D L
12 Gwangju FC 20 1 7 12 -34 10
L D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Red Card · Han Ji-Ho
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Han Ji-Ho
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Thiaguinho Santos
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rodrigo Bassani
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Morgan Ferrier
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ju-yong Lee
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Myung Joo Lee
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stefan Mugoša
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kim Myung-Sun
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tae-hyeon Ahn
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jong-Woo Kim
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kim Seong-Min
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gerso Fernandes
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jeong-in Park
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Seung-bin Kim
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Goal · Own Goal · Juan Ibiza
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dong-kyu Baek
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ju-yong Lee
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
INCHEON UNITED WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.76
DRAW
3.41
29.3% implied
↑ best 3.60
BUCHEON FC 1995 WIN
5.17
19.3% implied
↑ best 5.63

Market favors Incheon United. AI projects DRAW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.70 3.40 5.25 +18.6%
1xBet 1.70 3.45 5.28 +19.0%
Bet365 1.65 3.40 5.00 +18.6%
Betano 1.72 3.35 5.20 +18.1%
Betfair 1.67 3.40 5.50 +18.6%
BetVictor 1.67 3.40 5.50 +18.6%
Dafabet 1.76 3.55 5.20 +19.8%
Marathonbet 1.68 3.45 5.35 +19.0%
Pinnacle 1.72 3.60 5.63 +20.2%
SBO 1.73 3.22 4.60 +16.9%
Superbet 1.73 3.40 5.00 +18.6%
Unibet 1.66 3.35 4.75 +18.1%
William Hill 1.70 3.30 5.00 +17.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.66
2.5 O 2.34 U 1.57
3.5 O 4.42 U 1.18
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.17 10 bks
NO
1.61 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.60
Away -0.5 2.11
Away -0.75 1.87
Away -1 1.58
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.