GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 10:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
KAWASAKI FRONTALE
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES
MACHIDA ZELVIA
⚽ 89' Yasuto Wakizaka ⚽ 120+1' Yasuto Wakizaka ⚽ 120+2' Yuichi Maruyama ⚽ 120+3' Yuki Yamamoto ⚽ 120+4' Asahi Sasaki ⚽ 120+5' Reon Yamahara ⚽ 120+6' Kyosuke Mochiyama
GOALS
⚽ 40' Tete Yengi ⚽ 120+1' Ibrahim Drešević ⚽ 120+2' Yuta Nakayama ⚽ 120+3' Shota Fujio ⚽ 120+4' Kosei Tani ⚽ 120+5' Neta Lavi ⚽ 120+6' Keiya Sento
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
KAW
1 – 1
MAC
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
KAW WIN 28%
DRAW 48%
MAC WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

90' at 1-1: late-minute equalization favors draw; Zelvia's superior table position + road discipline keep away win live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY KAWASAKI FRONTALE CHALLENGED
28%
Dead-even at full-time (90') — draw is clear base case
+25.0%
Kawasaki penalty-goal (89') salvages 1-1 from deficit; momentum shift late but insufficient for overturn
+20.0%
Zelvia league position 3 vs Kawasaki 6 (10-pt gap); Zelvia's road form WDDLD more disciplined than Kawasaki home form WWWLL recent
+15.0%
WHY MACHIDA ZELVIA CHALLENGED
24%
Dead-even at full-time (90') — draw is clear base case
+25.0%
Kawasaki penalty-goal (89') salvages 1-1 from deficit; momentum shift late but insufficient for overturn
+20.0%
Zelvia league position 3 vs Kawasaki 6 (10-pt gap); Zelvia's road form WDDLD more disciplined than Kawasaki home form WWWLL recent
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Dead-even at full-time (90') — draw is clear base case
  • Kawasaki penalty-goal (89') salvages 1-1 from deficit; momentum shift late but insufficient for overturn
  • Zelvia league position 3 vs Kawasaki 6 (10-pt gap); Zelvia's road form WDDLD more disciplined than Kawasaki home form WWWLL recent
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 40' TETE YENGI ⚽ 89' YASUTO WAK ⚽ 121' IBRAHIM DR ⚽ 121' YASUTO WAK ⚽ 122' YUTA NAKAY ⚽ 122' YUICHI MAR ⚽ 123' SHOTA FUJI ⚽ 123' YUKI YAMAM ⚽ 124' ASAHI SASA ⚽ 124' KOSEI TANI ⚽ 125' NETA LAVI ⚽ 125' REON YAMAH ⚽ 126' KEIYA SENT ⚽ 126' KYOSUKE MO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 14 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.21
48.0%
2.08
+54.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
76.0%
1.32
+19.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
60.0%
1.67
+2.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
72.0%
1.39
-2.2%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.00
28.0%
3.57
-16.0%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.97
35.0%
2.86
-31.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
52.0%
1.92
-32.1%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.34
24.0%
4.17
-43.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.