GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 60%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 10:00 LOCAL
KAWASAKI FRONTALE
6TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-1
MACHIDA ZELVIA
D W W D D
· 3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 89' Yasuto Wakizaka (P) ⚽ 120+1' Yasuto Wakizaka (P) ⚽ 120+2' Yuichi Maruyama (P) ⚽ 120+3' Yuki Yamamoto (P) ⚽ 120+4' Asahi Sasaki (P) ⚽ 120+5' Reon Yamahara (P) ⚽ 120+6' Kyosuke Mochiyama (P)
GOALS
⚽ 40' Tete Yengi ⚽ 120+1' Ibrahim Drešević (P) ⚽ 120+2' Yuta Nakayama (P) ⚽ 120+3' Shota Fujio (P) ⚽ 120+4' Kosei Tani (P) ⚽ 120+5' Neta Lavi (P) ⚽ 120+6' Keiya Sento (P)
Yasuto Wakizaka
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yasuto Wakizaka
Kawasaki Frontale · Captain · 99 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 46% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
6
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
9
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 25 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lazar Romanić
    KAW
  2. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tete Yengi · assist Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gen Shoji · assist Yuta Nakayama
    MAC
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tete Yengi · assist Shota Fujio
    MAC
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hokuto Shimoda · assist Neta Lavi
    MAC
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ten Miyagi · assist Marcinho
    KAW
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Erik · assist Keiya Sento
    MAC
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tatsuya Ito · assist Ryuki Osa
    KAW
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kento Tachibanada · assist So Kawahara
    KAW
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lazar Romanić · assist Kyosuke Mochiyama
    KAW
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sang-Ho Na · assist Kotaro Hayashi
    MAC
  12. 89'
    Goal · Penalty
    Yasuto Wakizaka
    KAW
  13. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Neta Lavi
    MAC
  14. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Ibrahim Drešević
    MAC
  15. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Yasuto Wakizaka
    KAW
  16. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Yuta Nakayama
    MAC
  17. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Yuichi Maruyama
    KAW
  18. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Shota Fujio
    MAC
  19. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Yuki Yamamoto
    KAW
  20. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Kosei Tani
    MAC
  21. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Asahi Sasaki
    KAW
  22. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Neta Lavi
    MAC
  23. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Reon Yamahara
    KAW
  24. 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Keiya Sento
    MAC
  25. 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty
    Kyosuke Mochiyama
    KAW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KAWASAKI FRONTALE AVG 7.4
MACHIDA ZELVIA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
9.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
671.0
PASSES
371.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KAWASAKI FRONTALE 6 shots
Yasuto Wakizaka
4/5
Yuki Yamamoto
1/1
MACHIDA ZELVIA 3 shots
Tete Yengi
1/3
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 48%
52% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
7.3
1
LOUIS YAM
13
SOTA MIUR
 7.2
28
YUICHI MA
5
ASAHI SAS
29
REON YAMA
 7.7
6
YUKI YAMA
8
KENTO TAC
24
TEN MIYAG
 7.9
14
YASUTO WA
17
TATSUYA I
91
LAZAR ROM
 7.9
1
KOSEI TAN
 7.0
5
IBRAHIM D
 7.3
50
DAIHACHI
3
GEN SHOJI
34
FUTA TOKU
18
HOKUTO SH
 6.9
16
HIROYUKI
88
HOTAKA NA
10
SANG-HO N
27
ERIK
 7.9
99
TETE YENG
SUBSTITUTES · KAWASAKI FRONTALE
38
Soma Kanda
F
19
So Kawahara
M
34
Ryuki Osa
M
32
Shunsuke Hay...
D
22
Filip Uremov...
D
2
Yuto Matsuna...
D
49
Svend Broder...
G
23
Marcinho
F
20
Kyosuke Moch...
F
COACH: Shigetoshi Hasebe
SUBSTITUTES · MACHIDA ZELVIA
8
Keiya Sento
M
11
Asahi Masuya...
M
26
Kotaro Hayas...
D
2
Tomoki Imai
D
13
Tatsuya Mori...
G
9
Shota Fujio
F
31
Neta Lavi
M
19
Yuta Nakayam...
D
23
Ryohei Shira...
M
COACH: Go Kuroda
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yusuke Araki, Japan
—
KAW MANAGER
Shigetoshi Hasebe
head coach
MAC MANAGER
Go Kuroda
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
KAW WINS
2
DRAWS
2
MAC WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
12 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.83
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
28 Mar 2026
Machida Zelvia
1 – 1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
31 Aug 2025
Kawasaki Frontale
5 – 3
Machida Zelvia
W
06 Apr 2025
Machida Zelvia
2 – 2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
05 Oct 2024
Machida Zelvia
1 – 4
Kawasaki Frontale
W
07 Apr 2024
Kawasaki Frontale
0 – 1
Machida Zelvia
L
KAWASAKI FRONTALE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L W
MACHIDA ZELVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
KAWASAKI FRONTALE #6
Lost · already at 23 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
MACHIDA ZELVIA #3
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Penalty · Kyosuke Mochiyama
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Keiya Sento
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Reon Yamahara
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Neta Lavi
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Asahi Sasaki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Kosei Tani
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Yuki Yamamoto
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Shota Fujio
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Yuichi Maruyama
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Yuta Nakayama
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Yasuto Wakizaka
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Ibrahim Drešević
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Neta Lavi
  • 89'
    Goal · Penalty · Yasuto Wakizaka
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sang-Ho Na
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lazar Romanić
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kento Tachibanada
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tatsuya Ito
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Erik
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ten Miyagi
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hokuto Shimoda
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tete Yengi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gen Shoji
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tete Yengi
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lazar Romanić
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
KAWASAKI FRONTAL WIN
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.15
DRAW
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.30
MACHIDA ZELVIA WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.44

Market favors Machida Zelvia. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.00 3.25 2.33 +17.2%
1xBet 3.03 3.18 2.37 +16.6%
Bet365 3.10 3.10 2.35 +15.7%
Betano 3.05 3.15 2.37 +16.3%
Betfair 2.80 3.25 2.20 +17.2%
BetVictor 3.00 3.30 2.38 +17.7%
Dafabet 3.05 3.30 2.37 +17.7%
Marathonbet 3.02 3.18 2.34 +16.6%
Pinnacle 3.15 3.27 2.44 +17.4%
SBO 2.95 3.19 2.30 +16.7%
Unibet 2.95 3.30 2.30 +17.7%
William Hill 2.90 3.10 2.30 +15.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.33
2.5 O 1.97 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.30 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.71 9 bks
NO
2.01 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.41
Away -0.75 1.25
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.10
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.