GOALSENSE
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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
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KYOTO SANGA
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
GOALS
⚽ 29' Sota Nakamura ⚽ 49' Akito Suzuki ⚽ 52' M. Kato ⚽ 75' Taishi Matsumoto
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 43/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
KYO
1 – 1
SAN
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS KYOTO SANGA TO WIN 38%
FT 0 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
KYO WIN 38%
DRAW 28%
SAN WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched on quality; Hiroshima's superior form and table position edge Kyoto's home advantage — draw or away win live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY KYOTO SANGA FAVORED
38%
Hiroshima 4 pts and 1 league position ahead; better season GF/GA (+2 vs −3)
+25.0%
Kyoto home form weak (LDDLW) vs Hiroshima road form solid (WLDLW)
+20.0%
Recent form divergence: Hiroshima WDLDW vs Kyoto LLDLD — visitor in better momentum
+15.0%
WHY SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA CHALLENGED
34%
Hiroshima 4 pts and 1 league position ahead; better season GF/GA (+2 vs −3)
+25.0%
Kyoto home form weak (LDDLW) vs Hiroshima road form solid (WLDLW)
+20.0%
Recent form divergence: Hiroshima WDLDW vs Kyoto LLDLD — visitor in better momentum
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Hiroshima 4 pts and 1 league position ahead; better season GF/GA (+2 vs −3)
  • Kyoto home form weak (LDDLW) vs Hiroshima road form solid (WLDLW)
  • Recent form divergence: Hiroshima WDLDW vs Kyoto LLDLD — visitor in better momentum
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 29' SOTA NAKAM ⚽ 49' AKITO SUZU ⚽ 52' M. KATO ⚽ 75' TAISHI MAT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.56
38.0%
2.63
+35.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.78
66.0%
1.52
+17.4%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.55
28.0%
3.57
-0.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
72.0%
1.39
-9.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
54.0%
1.85
-12.0%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
48.0%
2.08
-14.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
62.0%
1.61
-20.7%
—
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.98
34.0%
2.94
-32.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.