GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · KYOTO SANGA 38%
CONF 43 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 17 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
KYOTO SANGA
9TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L D
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
W D L D W
· 5TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 29' Sota Nakamura ⚽ 49' Akito Suzuki ⚽ 52' M. Kato ⚽ 75' Taishi Matsumoto
Sota Nakamura
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sota Nakamura
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 79 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 20% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
3
TOTAL SHOTS
16
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
1
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sota Nakamura · assist Higashi Shunki
    SAN
  2. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Henrique Trevisan
    KYO
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Temma Matsuda · assist Fuchi Honda
    KYO
  4. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Akito Suzuki · assist M. Kato
    SAN
  5. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Kato · assist Higashi Shunki
    SAN
  6. 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ryuma Nakano · assist Haruki Arai
    KYO
  7. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Arai Naoto
    SAN
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alex Souza · assist Masaya Okugawa
    KYO
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Kato · assist Ryo Germain
    SAN
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Arai Naoto · assist Taishi Matsumoto
    SAN
  11. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Pedro
    KYO
  12. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Taishi Matsumoto · assist Sota Nakamura
    SAN
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Henrique Trevisan · assist Shogo Asada
    KYO
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kyo Sato · assist Taiyo Hiraoka
    KYO
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sota Nakamura · assist Maeda Naoki
    SAN
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Akito Suzuki · assist Kinoshita Kosuke
    SAN
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kawabe Hayao · assist Shimon Kobayashi
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KYOTO SANGA AVG 6.8
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
2.0
ON TARGET
8.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
362.0
PASSES
267.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
9.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KYOTO SANGA 2 shots
Ryuma Nakano
2/2
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 6 shots
Akito Suzuki
1/3
Sota Nakamura
1/1
Taishi Matsumoto
1/1
Kato Mutsuki
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
94
MASAAKI M
44
KYO SATO
34
HENRIQUE
50
YOSHINORI
22
HIDEHIRO
 6.6
48
RYUMA NAK
 6.7
25
SUNG-JUN
6
JOãO PEDR
17
ALEX SOUZ
 6.6
9
RAFAEL EL
18
TEMMA MAT
1
OSAKO KEI
19
SASAKI SH
3
YAMASAKI
33
SHIOTANI
 7.9
24
HIGASHI S
13
ARAI NAOT
6
KAWABE HA
15
SHUTO NAK
 8.2
39
SOTA NAKA
 7.6
11
KATO MUTS
 7.9
10
AKITO SUZ
SUBSTITUTES · KYOTO SANGA
16
Taiyo Hiraok...
M
40
Yusuke Ishid...
D
5
Hisashi Appi...
D
3
Shogo Asada
D
1
Gakuji Ota
G
7
Masaya Okuga...
M
77
Haruki Arai
M
99
Fuchi Honda
M
93
Shun Nagasaw...
F
COACH: Gwi-Jae Jo
SUBSTITUTES · SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
41
Maeda Naoki
F
45
Shimon Kobay...
M
40
Motoki Ohara
M
25
Chajima Yusu...
M
16
Shichi Takaa...
D
99
Issei Ouchi
G
9
Ryo Germain
F
14
Taishi Matsu...
M
17
Kinoshita Ko...
F
COACH: Bartosch Gaul
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KYO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jumpei Iida, Japan
—
KYO MANAGER
Gwi-Jae Jo
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bartosch Gaul
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
KYO WINS
2
DRAWS
4
SAN WINS
40%
20%
40%
10 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Feb 2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 2
Kyoto Sanga
W
12 Sep 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 1
Kyoto Sanga
D
29 Mar 2025
Kyoto Sanga
1 – 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
03 Nov 2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 – 1
Kyoto Sanga
W
19 May 2024
Kyoto Sanga
0 – 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
KYOTO SANGA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L D
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–4 · result locked
KYOTO SANGA #9
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA #4
Won · already at 27 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 16 13 0 3 +17 39
W W W L W
1 Nagoya Grampus 16 10 0 6 +9 31
W W W L W
2 Vissel Kobe 16 10 0 6 +4 31
W L W L L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
3 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
3 Machida Zelvia 16 12 0 4 +6 33
W W W L W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 17 12 0 5 +5 34
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Cerezo Osaka 16 9 0 7 +3 25
W L W W L
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 8 0 8 +2 24
W L L L W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 17 7 0 10 +4 25
L W W W W
6 Shimizu S-pulse 16 8 0 8 +1 24
W W W L L
6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 8 0 8 -5 23
L W L L W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Fagiano Okayama 16 7 0 9 -4 23
W L W W W
8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
9 Kyoto Sanga 16 7 0 9 -3 20
L L L L W
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 16 3 0 13 -12 12
L W L L L
10 V-varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 10 -8 19
L W L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kawabe Hayao
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Akito Suzuki
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sota Nakamura
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kyo Sato
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Henrique Trevisan
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Taishi Matsumoto
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · João Pedro
    misses next match
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Arai Naoto
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Kato
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alex Souza
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Arai Naoto
  • 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ryuma Nakano
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Kato
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Akito Suzuki
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Temma Matsuda
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Henrique Trevisan
    misses next match
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sota Nakamura
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
KYOTO SANGA WIN
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.71
DRAW
3.55
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.68
SANFRECCE HIROSH WIN
1.98
50.5% implied
↑ best 2.03

Market favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima. AI projects KYOTO SANGA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KYOTO SANGA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.55 3.60 1.95 +9.8%
1xBet 3.54 3.54 1.99 +9.8%
Bet365 3.70 3.50 1.95 +11.0%
Betano 3.55 3.50 1.98 +9.8%
Betfair 3.40 3.60 1.90 +8.6%
BetVictor 3.60 3.60 2.00 +10.2%
Dafabet 3.65 3.60 2.01 +10.6%
Marathonbet 3.54 3.54 1.97 +9.8%
Pinnacle 3.71 3.68 2.03 +11.0%
Unibet 3.40 3.50 2.02 +8.6%
William Hill 3.50 3.40 1.95 +9.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.84
2.5 O 1.77 U 2.00
3.5 O 2.88 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 9 bks
NO
2.14 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.35
Away -0.5 1.29
Away -0.75 1.16
Away -1 1.07
Away -1.25 1.03
Away -1.5 1.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.