GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 3 · SUN, 02 AUG · 20:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
NEWELLS OLD BOYS
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
BOCA JUNIORS
⚽ 50' Matías Cóccaro ⚽ 59' Luca Regiardo
GOALS
⚽ 30' Santiago Ascacíbar ⚽ 81' Alan Velasco
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NEW
1 – 1
BOC
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS NEWELLS OLD BOYS TO WIN 38%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
NEW WIN 38%
DRAW 28%
BOC WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Data quality severely limited; treat as weak heuristic. Boca slight favourite despite poor recent form due to table position.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NEWELLS OLD BOYS FAVORED
38%
Newells home form mixed (WDDLW) vs Boca poor away form (LLWLW) — marginal home edge
+25.0%
League standings corrupted (multiple duplicate/nonsensical entries) — limited ability to assess true quality gap
+20.0%
Both teams recent form poor (Newells LWDDW, Boca LLDLL) — suggests defensive uncertainty
+15.0%
WHY BOCA JUNIORS CHALLENGED
34%
Newells home form mixed (WDDLW) vs Boca poor away form (LLWLW) — marginal home edge
+25.0%
League standings corrupted (multiple duplicate/nonsensical entries) — limited ability to assess true quality gap
+20.0%
Both teams recent form poor (Newells LWDDW, Boca LLDLL) — suggests defensive uncertainty
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Newells home form mixed (WDDLW) vs Boca poor away form (LLWLW) — marginal home edge
  • League standings corrupted (multiple duplicate/nonsensical entries) — limited ability to assess true quality gap
  • Both teams recent form poor (Newells LWDDW, Boca LLDLL) — suggests defensive uncertainty
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 30' SANTIAGO A ⚽ 50' MATíAS C� ⚽ 59' LUCA REGIA ⚽ 81' ALAN VELAS
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.26
38.0%
2.63
+61.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.82
66.0%
1.52
+20.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.17
52.0%
1.92
+12.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.55
44.0%
2.27
+12.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
72.0%
1.39
-4.4%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.14
28.0%
3.57
-12.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
62.0%
1.61
-25.3%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.94
34.0%
2.94
-34.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.