GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NEWELLS OLD BOYS 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 3 · SUN, 02 AUG · 20:00 LOCAL
NEWELLS OLD BOYS
5TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D D W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BOCA JUNIORS
L L D L L
· 13TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 50' Matías Cóccaro ⚽ 59' Luca Regiardo
GOALS
⚽ 30' Santiago Ascacíbar ⚽ 81' Alan Velasco
Alan Velasco
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alan Velasco
Boca Juniors · 20 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 5% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.54
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.62
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
16
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
77%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
5
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Santiago Ascacíbar · assist Sebastián Villa
    BOC
  2. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lautaro Giannetti
    NEW
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayrton Costa
    BOC
  4. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Matías Cóccaro · assist Facundo Guch
    NEW
  5. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luca Regiardo
    NEW
  6. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Regiardo · assist Lautaro Rios
    NEW
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Miguel Merentiel · assist Milton Giménez
    BOC
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Cóccaro · assist Juan Ignacio Ramírez
    NEW
  9. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leandro Paredes
    BOC
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sebastián Villa · assist Alan Velasco
    BOC
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dylan Gorosito · assist Leandro Lozano
    BOC
  12. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alan Velasco
    BOC
  13. 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alan Velasco · assist Tomás Aranda
    BOC
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    David Sotelo · assist Lucas Gómez
    NEW
  15. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Franco Escobar · assist Bruno Cabrera
    NEW
  16. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Facundo Guch · assist Valentino Acuña
    NEW
  17. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lautaro Rios · assist Blas Benedetto
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEWELLS OLD BOYS AVG 7.1
BOCA JUNIORS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.6
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
270.0
PASSES
394.0
77.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
7.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEWELLS OLD BOYS 4 shots
Luca Regiardo
1/2
Facundo Guch
0/1
Matías Cóccaro
1/1
BOCA JUNIORS 4 shots
Alan Velasco
1/1
Lautaro Di Lollo
1/1
Sebastián Villa
0/1
Santiago Ascacíbar
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.54 – 1.62
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 50' 59' 30' 81' H 0.54 A 1.62 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
30
JOSUé REI
28
JERONIMO
17
LAUTARO G
23
NICOLáS G
 6.7
24
FRANCO ES
 7.6
5
LUCA REGI
8
DAVID SOT
 6.9
39
LAUTARO R
 7.3
20
FACUNDO G
7
WALTER MA
 6.9
9
MATíAS Có
1
ÁLVARO MO
3
LAUTARO B
32
AYRTON CO
 7.3
2
LAUTARO D
24
DYLAN GOR
 7.2
25
SANTIAGO
 7.5
5
LEANDRO P
 7.3
22
SEBASTIáN
10
TOMáS ARA
19
LEONEL FL
16
MIGUEL ME
SUBSTITUTES · NEWELLS OLD BOYS
35
Blas Benedet...
M
29
Marcelo Espo...
M
15
Alan Soñora
M
27
Lucas Gómez
M
18
Mateo García
F
10
Valentino Ac...
M
3
Martín Lucia...
D
2
Ian Glavinov...
D
25
Bruno Cabrer...
D
21
Gabriel Aria...
G
99
Juan Ignacio...
F
36
Francisco Sc...
F
COACH: Lucas Bernardi
SUBSTITUTES · BOCA JUNIORS
21
Kevin Zenón
M
23
Camilo Rey D...
M
20
Alan Velasco
M
18
Milton Delga...
M
15
Williams Ala...
M
4
Nicolás Figa...
D
17
Leandro Loza...
D
27
Malcom Braid...
M
26
Marco Pelleg...
D
12
Leandro Brey
G
9
Milton Gimén...
F
11
Ángel Romero
F
COACH: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andres Merlos, Argentina
—
NEW MANAGER
Lucas Bernardi
head coach
BOC MANAGER
Rodolfo Arruabarrena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
NEW WINS
1
DRAWS
7
BOC WINS
20%
10%
70%
6 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Feb 2026
Boca Juniors
2 – 0
Newells Old Boys
L
05 Oct 2025
Boca Juniors
5 – 0
Newells Old Boys
L
30 Mar 2025
Newells Old Boys
2 – 0
Boca Juniors
W
09 Dec 2024
Newells Old Boys
0 – 1
Boca Juniors
L
24 Jul 2023
Boca Juniors
2 – 1
Newells Old Boys
L
NEWELLS OLD BOYS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D D W
BOCA JUNIORS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
NEWELLS OLD BOYS #5
Lost · already at 4 pts
Knockout Phase
BOCA JUNIORS #1
Lost · already at 159 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Argentinos JRS 3 3 0 0 +5 9
W W W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
W L L W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L W D L D
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L D D
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D L L W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L L L L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Independiente 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Barracas Central 3 3 0 0 +3 9
W W W L D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
3 Gimnasia M. 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W W L
3 Gimnasia L.P. 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L L W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
W W L D D
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L L D D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D L L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Instituto Cordoba 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L W D
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Atletico Tucuman 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D W D L
5 Newells Old Boys 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W D D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
W W L W L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Independ. Rivadavia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L D
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Defensa Y Justicia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D L L
6 Banfield 3 1 1 1 0 4
D W L W D
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W L L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L D D
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
W L L L W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 3 1 1 1 0 4
W D L L W
7 Deportivo Riestra 3 1 0 2 +1 3
L L W D W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L D W L W
8 Estudiantes L.P. 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L L W D
8 Racing Club 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L D W L W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L D L W D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W W L W D
9 Lanus 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L D D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
W W W L D
9 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D L W L L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L W D L L
10 Tigre 2 1 0 1 +1 3
W L D L D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 San Lorenzo 2 1 0 1 0 3
W L L L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
W L D L D
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Platense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D L L L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W L L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Belgrano Cordoba 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W W W W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Union Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D L W D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L D L L L
12 Huracan 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W L W D
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
D W L W D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L L L D W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
13 Boca Juniors 2 0 1 1 -3 1
D L L W W
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D W D L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Sarmiento Junin 3 1 0 2 -1 3
W L L L W
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L L D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D L W D D
14 Aldosivi 3 0 1 2 -2 1
L L D D L
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Talleres Cordoba 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 River Plate 3 0 0 3 -3 0
L L L L W
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L L D W
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L W L L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
L L W D W
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lautaro Rios
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Facundo Guch
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Franco Escobar
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · David Sotelo
  • 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alan Velasco
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alan Velasco
    Foul
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dylan Gorosito
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sebastián Villa
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Leandro Paredes
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Cóccaro
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Miguel Merentiel
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Regiardo
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luca Regiardo
    Foul
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Matías Cóccaro
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayrton Costa
    Foul
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lautaro Giannetti
    Foul
  • 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Santiago Ascacíbar
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
NEWELLS OLD BOYS WIN
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.51
DRAW
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.32
BOCA JUNIORS WIN
1.94
51.5% implied
↑ best 2.00

Market favors Boca Juniors. AI projects NEWELLS OLD BOYS 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEWELLS OLD BOYS 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.40 3.05 1.93 +15.3%
1xBet 4.28 3.28 1.94 +14.6%
888Sport 4.00 3.00 1.91 +13.0%
Bet365 4.50 3.20 1.91 +15.8%
Betano 4.45 3.15 1.98 +15.5%
Betfair 4.33 3.10 1.91 +14.9%
BetVictor 4.50 3.20 1.90 +15.8%
Dafabet 4.30 3.15 1.94 +14.7%
Marathonbet 4.20 3.22 1.91 +14.2%
Pinnacle 4.51 3.32 1.95 +15.8%
SBO 3.78 2.96 1.97 +11.5%
Superbet 4.30 3.20 1.97 +14.7%
Unibet 4.10 3.15 2.00 +13.6%
William Hill 4.00 3.00 1.91 +13.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.50 U 2.51
2.5 O 2.55 U 1.48
3.5 O 5.11 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.17 11 bks
NO
1.62 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.27
Away -0.5 1.23
Away -0.75 1.13
Away -1 1.00
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.