GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 23 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
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ST. LOUIS CITY
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME
AUSTIN
⚽ 40' Guilherme Biro ⚽ 56' Fallou Fall ⚽ 90' Daniel Ethan Edelman
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ST.
1 – 1
AUS
most likely scoreline · 15.2% probability
AI PICKS ST. LOUIS CITY TO WIN 52%
FT 3 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ST. WIN 52%
DRAW 26%
AUS WIN 22%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 78% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 78% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched on quality; home form split favours St. Louis slightly but Austin's recent W-W run complicates. Draw is live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ST. LOUIS CITY FAVORED
52%
Season points nearly identical (13 vs 14); GF/GA similar — quality gap minimal
+25.0%
WHY AUSTIN CHALLENGED
22%
Evenly matched on quality; home form split favours St. Louis slightly but Austin's recent W-W run complicates. Draw is live.
+30.0%
St. Louis home form WLLLW suggests unreliability; Austin away form LDLDL equally poor
+20.0%
H2H volatile: 2-0 Austin (May 2026), 3-1 St. Louis (Oct 2025) — recent Austin win recent
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Season points nearly identical (13 vs 14); GF/GA similar — quality gap minimal
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 40' GUILHERME ⚽ 56' FALLOU FAL ⚽ 90' DANIEL ETH
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
11.9
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.1
·
1
15.2
13.3
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.5
7.5
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.2
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 15.2%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.3%
0 — 1 11.9%
2 — 0 8.5%
Top 5 = 62.4% · rest 37.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.03
26.0%
3.85
+4.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.16
48.0%
2.08
+3.6%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.63
22.0%
4.55
+1.8%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.18
78.0%
1.28
-7.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
58.0%
1.72
-9.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
74.0%
1.35
-10.1%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
52.0%
1.92
-13.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
54.0%
1.85
-16.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.