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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ST. LOUIS CITY 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 23 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
ST. LOUIS CITY
12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
AUSTIN
L L D W W
· 14TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 40' Guilherme Biro ⚽ 56' Fallou Fall ⚽ 90' Daniel Ethan Edelman
GOALS
Fallou Fall
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Fallou Fall
St. Louis City · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 34% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: St. Louis City SC vs Austin
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

99%
BALL POSSESSION %
101%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
7
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
383%
PASS ACCURACY %
449%
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 23'
    Subst
    Lukas MacNaughton · assist Dante Polvara
    ST.
  2. 40'
    Goal · 1-0
    Guilherme Biro
    ST.
  3. 56'
    Goal · 2-0
    Fallou Fall
    ST.
  4. 60'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  5. 60'
    Subst
    Jayden Nelson · assist Mikkel Desler
    AUS
  6. 76'
    Subst
    Nicolás Dubersarsky · assist Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  7. 76'
    Subst
    Žan Kolmanič · assist Jon Bell
    AUS
  8. 80'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Owen Wolff
    AUS
  9. 80'
    Card · Foul
    Nicolás Dubersarsky
    AUS
  10. 84'
    Card · Simulation
    Chris Durkin
    ST.
  11. 88'
    Subst
    Brendan McSorley · assist Simon Becher
    ST.
  12. 88'
    Subst
    Cedric Teuchert · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  13. 90'
    Goal · 3-0
    Daniel Ethan Edelman · assist Cedric Teuchert
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ST. LOUIS CITY AVG 7.4
AUSTIN AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
99.0%
POSSESSION %
101.0%
454.0
PASSES
521.0
383.0%
PASS ACCURACY
449.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
5.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ST. LOUIS CITY 8 shots
Eduard Löwen
1/3
Rafael Santos
1/2
Marcel Hartel
1/2
Fallou Fall
1/1
AUSTIN 3 shots
Facundo Torres
1/1
Joseph Rosales
0/1
Guilherme Biro
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-4-2
3-4-3
4-4-2
39
BENJAMIN
 8.6
27
FALLOU FA
 7.2
32
TIMO BAUM
21
DANTE POL
 7.0
20
RAFAEL SA
24
DANIEL ED
8
CHRISTOPH
14
TOMAS TOT
 7.0
17
MARCEL HA
11
SIMON BEC
 7.2
10
EDUARD Lö
1
BRAD STUV
 6.6
29
GUILHERME
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
3
MIKKEL DE
17
JON GALLA
 6.9
30
JOSEPH RO
8
DANIEL PE
 6.9
11
FACUNDO T
21
CHRISTIAN
33
OWEN WOLF
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
28
Miguel Perez
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
80
Brendan McSo...
F
4
Mamadou Mbac...
D
22
Kyle Hiebert
D
34
Colin Welsh
G
5
Lukas MacNau...
D
36
Cedric Teuch...
F
COACH: Yoann Damet
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
9
Brandon Vázq...
F
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
14
Besard Sabov...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
12
Damian Las
G
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
COACH: Nico Estevez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
—
ST. MANAGER
Yoann Damet
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
ST. WINS
1
DRAWS
1
AUS WINS
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
16 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.57
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
03 May 2026
Austin
2 – 0
St. Louis City
L
05 Oct 2025
Austin
1 – 3
St. Louis City
W
30 Mar 2025
St. Louis City
0 – 1
Austin
L
14 Apr 2024
St. Louis City
1 – 0
Austin
W
10 Mar 2024
Austin
2 – 2
St. Louis City
D
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
ST. LOUIS CITY #12
Won · already at 16 pts
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Goal · 3-0 · Daniel Ethan Edelman
    2nd Goal
  • 88'
    Subst · Cedric Teuchert
    8th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst · Brendan McSorley
    7th Substitution
  • 84'
    Card · Simulation · Chris Durkin
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Card · Foul · Nicolás Dubersarsky
    1st Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    6th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Žan Kolmanič
    5th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Nicolás Dubersarsky
    4th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Jayden Nelson
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    3rd Substitution
  • 56'
    Goal · 2-0 · Fallou Fall
    1st Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 40'
    Goal · 1-0 · Guilherme Biro
    1st Own Goal
  • 23'
    Subst · Lukas MacNaughton
    1st Substitution
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
1.67
59.9% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
AUSTIN WIN
4.63
21.6% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors St. Louis City. AI projects ST. LOUIS CITY 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. LOUIS CITY 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 4.20 4.50 +2.2%
888Sport 1.67 3.80 4.40 -0.3%
Bet365 1.67 3.90 5.00 +2.0%
Betano 1.70 4.20 5.00 +2.2%
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.50 +1.0%
BetVictor 1.65 4.10 4.50 +1.6%
Dafabet 1.72 4.20 4.60 +2.2%
Marathonbet 1.65 4.05 4.55 +1.3%
Pinnacle 1.68 4.19 4.88 +2.1%
SBO 1.67 3.93 4.30 +0.6%
Superbet 1.68 4.10 4.70 +1.6%
Unibet 1.66 3.95 4.80 +1.2%
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.40 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 5.02
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.40
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.57
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 10 bks
NO
2.29 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.63
Away -0.5 2.20
Away -0.75 1.97
Away -1 1.72
Away -1.25 1.55
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.