GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN, 03 MAY · 14:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
CASA PIA
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
TONDELA
GOALS
⚽ 68' Bebeto
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 82/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAS
0 – 1
TON
most likely scoreline · 18.9% probability
AI PICKS TONDELA TO WIN 74%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CAS WIN 8%
DRAW 18%
TON WIN 74%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
TONDELA TO WIN

AI consensus across 74% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 74% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tondela leading 1-0 at 90' with only stoppage time remaining; Casa Pia's poor form and zero xG make comeback nearly impossible.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CASA PIA CHALLENGED
8%
Casa Pia scoreless throughout (0 shots on target visible) with LLDLD recent form
+20.0%
WHY TONDELA FAVORED
74%
Tondela defensive solidity (GA 52 in 22 pts) holding firm late
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-goal lead at 90' — only 0-2 minutes of play remain
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 68' BEBETO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 18.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
18.9
11.9
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
9.6
12.1
7.6
3.2
1.0
0.3
·
2
3.1
3.9
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
·
3
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 18.9%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.1%
0 — 2 11.9%
1 — 0 9.6%
Top 5 = 67.3% · rest 32.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.24
74.0%
1.35
+139.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
92.0%
1.09
+45.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
82.0%
1.22
+9.2%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.12
18.0%
5.56
-43.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
26.0%
3.85
-65.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
12.0%
8.33
-73.3%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.31
8.0%
12.50
-81.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.88
8.0%
12.50
-85.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.