GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 16 MAY · 13:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
WERDER BREMEN
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
GOALS
⚽ 59' Serhou Guirassy ⚽ 90+5' Yan Couto
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
WER
1 – 2
BOR
most likely scoreline · 10.8% probability
AI PICKS BORUSSIA DORTMUND TO WIN 48%
FT 0 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
WER WIN 28%
DRAW 24%
BOR WIN 48%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.54% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Dortmund's quality gap and away-form resilience override Bremen's slight home edge; expect away win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY WERDER BREMEN CHALLENGED
28%
Massive points gap (70 vs 32) and recent form collapse for Bremen (LLDWL)
+25.0%
Dortmund 2nd-place quality (68 GF, 34 GA) vs 15th-place vulnerability (37 GF, 58 GA)
+20.0%
Bremen's home form is weak (LWLLW); Dortmund's away form holds up (LLWWL recent pattern shows picks up)
+15.0%
WHY BORUSSIA DORTMUND FAVORED
48%
Massive points gap (70 vs 32) and recent form collapse for Bremen (LLDWL)
+25.0%
Dortmund 2nd-place quality (68 GF, 34 GA) vs 15th-place vulnerability (37 GF, 58 GA)
+20.0%
Bremen's home form is weak (LWLLW); Dortmund's away form holds up (LLWWL recent pattern shows picks up)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Massive points gap (70 vs 32) and recent form collapse for Bremen (LLDWL)
  • Dortmund 2nd-place quality (68 GF, 34 GA) vs 15th-place vulnerability (37 GF, 58 GA)
  • Bremen's home form is weak (LWLLW); Dortmund's away form holds up (LLWWL recent pattern shows picks up)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 59' SERHOU GUI ⚽ 95' YAN COUTO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.4
10.8
7.5
3.9
1.6
0.6
1
4.6
9.5
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
0.5
2
2.1
4.4
4.6
3.2
1.6
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.8%
0 — 1 10.4%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.5%
0 — 3 7.5%
Top 5 = 48.0% · rest 52.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.08
48.0%
2.08
-0.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
72.0%
1.39
-4.1%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.92
24.0%
4.17
-5.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
76.0%
1.32
-6.2%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
52.0%
1.92
-7.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
64.0%
1.56
-12.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
65.0%
1.54
-12.6%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.11
28.0%
3.57
-12.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.