GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · BORUSSIA DORTMUND 48% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 16 MAY · 13:30 LOCAL
WERDER BREMEN
15TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W L
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
W L W L L
· 2ND · 73 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 59' Serhou Guirassy ⚽ 90+5' Yan Couto
Mio Backhaus
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mio Backhaus
Werder Bremen · 87 mins
· 31% pass acc
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

77%
BALL POSSESSION %
121%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
17
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
441%
PASS ACCURACY %
413%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 46'
    Subst
    Marco Friedl · assist Amos Pieper
    WER
  2. 53'
    Subst
    Marco Grüll · assist Isaac Schmidt
    WER
  3. 59'
    Goal · 0-1
    Serhou Guirassy · assist Julian Ryerson
    BOR
  4. 69'
    Subst
    Carney Chukwuemeka · assist Samuele Inacio
    BOR
  5. 69'
    Subst
    Julian Brandt · assist Maximilian Beier
    BOR
  6. 70'
    Subst
    Samuel Mbangula · assist Salim Musah
    WER
  7. 70'
    Subst
    Patrice Covic · assist Cameron Puertas
    WER
  8. 83'
    Subst
    Karim Adeyemi · assist Jobe Bellingham
    BOR
  9. 83'
    Subst
    Fábio Silva · assist Serhou Guirassy
    BOR
  10. 83'
    Var
    WER
  11. 88'
    Subst
    Yan Couto · assist Julian Ryerson
    BOR
  12. 90'+3
    Subst
    Leonardo Bittencourt · assist Romano Schmid
    WER
  13. 90'+5
    Goal · 0-2
    Yan Couto · assist Karim Adeyemi
    BOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
WERDER BREMEN AVG 7.4
BORUSSIA DORTMUND AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
3.0
ON TARGET
9.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
77.0%
POSSESSION %
121.0%
519.0
PASSES
487.0
441.0%
PASS ACCURACY
413.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
5.0
7.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
WERDER BREMEN 2 shots
Marco Grüll
1/1
Isaac Schmidt
0/1
BORUSSIA DORTMUND 7 shots
Serhou Guirassy
5/6
Felix Nmecha
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-1-4-1
3-4-2-1
9.0
30
MIO BACKH
 7.2
2
OLIVIER D
31
KARIM COU
 6.9
5
AMOS PIEP
 6.9
23
ISAAC SCH
14
SENNE LYN
20
ROMANO SC
18
CAMERON P
6
JENS STAG
11
JUSTIN NJ
29
SALIM MUS
1
GREGOR KO
 7.3
4
NICO SCHL
 7.2
3
WALDEMAR
49
LUCA REGG
 7.2
24
DANIEL SV
7
JOBE BELL
 7.2
8
FELIX NME
26
JULIAN RY
40
SAMUELE I
14
MAXIMILIA
 7.3
9
SERHOU GU
SUBSTITUTES · WERDER BREMEN
10
Leonardo Bit...
M
24
Patrice Čovi...
M
7
Samuel Mbang...
F
27
Felix Agu
D
4
Niklas Stark
D
25
Markus Kolke
G
17
Marco Grüll
F
32
Marco Friedl
D
19
Jovan Miloše...
F
COACH: Daniel Thioune
SUBSTITUTES · BORUSSIA DORTMUND
27
Karim Adeyem...
F
21
Fábio Silva
F
20
Marcel Sabit...
M
2
Yan Couto
D
6
Salih Özcan
M
17
Carney Chukw...
M
25
Niklas Süle
D
33
Alexander Me...
G
10
Julian Brand...
M
COACH: Niko Kovac
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
WER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Bastian Dankert, Germany
—
WER MANAGER
Daniel Thioune
head coach
BOR MANAGER
Niko Kovac
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
WER WINS
2
DRAWS
7
BOR WINS
10%
20%
70%
8 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Jan 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3 – 0
Werder Bremen
L
25 Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2 – 2
Werder Bremen
D
31 Aug 2024
Werder Bremen
0 – 0
Borussia Dortmund
D
09 Mar 2024
Werder Bremen
1 – 2
Borussia Dortmund
L
20 Oct 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 0
Werder Bremen
L
WERDER BREMEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
BORUSSIA DORTMUND LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
WERDER BREMEN #15
Lost · already at 32 pts
BORUSSIA DORTMUND #2
Won · already at 73 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89
W W D W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73
W W L W L
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65
L W L W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62
D W D D L
5 1899 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61
L W D W W
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59
D L W W L
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47
W L D L W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44
D L L D L
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43
L W W D W
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40
W L W L D
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39
W W D L L
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38
W L W D D
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38
D W W L L
14 1. FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32
L L D L D
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32
L L L D W
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29
W L D D W
17 1. FC Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L W D W L
18 FC St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · 0-2 · Yan Couto
    2nd Goal
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Leonardo Bittencourt
    10th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst · Yan Couto
    9th Substitution
  • 83'
    Var
    Var
  • 83'
    Subst · Fábio Silva
    8th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Karim Adeyemi
    7th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Patrice Covic
    5th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Samuel Mbangula
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Julian Brandt
    3rd Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Carney Chukwuemeka
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Goal · 0-1 · Serhou Guirassy
    1st Goal
  • 53'
    Subst · Marco Grüll
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Marco Friedl
    1st Substitution
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
WERDER BREMEN WIN
3.11
32.2% implied
↑ best 3.30
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.11
BORUSSIA DORTMUN WIN
2.08
48.1% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Borussia Dortmund. AI projects BORUSSIA DORTMUND 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BORUSSIA DORTMUND 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.15 4.00 2.00 -1.0%
1xBet 3.28 4.11 2.14 +1.3%
888Sport 3.10 3.70 2.05 -0.8%
Bet365 3.00 3.90 2.10 +0.4%
Betano 3.10 4.00 2.22 +3.0%
Betfair 3.10 3.90 2.05 -0.8%
BetVictor 3.00 4.10 2.05 -0.4%
Dafabet 3.20 4.00 2.09 +0.2%
Marathonbet 3.14 4.05 2.15 +1.5%
Pinnacle 3.10 4.02 2.19 +2.3%
SBO 2.91 3.57 1.98 -2.5%
Unibet 3.30 3.85 1.97 -2.0%
William Hill 3.10 3.75 2.05 -0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.43
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.94
3.5 O 1.95 U 1.85
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.35 10 bks
NO
3.00 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.47
Away -0.5 1.36
Away -0.75 1.25
Away -1 1.14
Away -1.25 1.12
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.