GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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AUXERRE
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
NICE
⚽ 27' Sékou Mara ⚽ 70' Lassine Sinayoko
GOALS
⚽ 9' Sofiane Diop
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 44/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AUX
1 – 1
NIC
most likely scoreline · 14.1% probability
AI PICKS AUXERRE TO WIN 41%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
AUX WIN 41%
DRAW 29%
NIC WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched relegation battle; draw most likely outcome with both teams capable of scoring.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AUXERRE FAVORED
41%
Both teams in bottom half (Nice 15th, Auxerre 16th) with fragile form — DDWDD vs WLDDD
+25.0%
Home-form split favours Auxerre (WDWDL) vs Nice away (DWDLW), but both are inconsistent
+20.0%
Bookmaker odds imply home 40% (we: 41%) — minimal disagreement; draw underpriced at 28.6%
+15.0%
WHY NICE CHALLENGED
30%
Both teams in bottom half (Nice 15th, Auxerre 16th) with fragile form — DDWDD vs WLDDD
+25.0%
Home-form split favours Auxerre (WDWDL) vs Nice away (DWDLW), but both are inconsistent
+20.0%
Bookmaker odds imply home 40% (we: 41%) — minimal disagreement; draw underpriced at 28.6%
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams in bottom half (Nice 15th, Auxerre 16th) with fragile form — DDWDD vs WLDDD
  • Home-form split favours Auxerre (WDWDL) vs Nice away (DWDLW), but both are inconsistent
  • Bookmaker odds imply home 40% (we: 41%) — minimal disagreement; draw underpriced at 28.6%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 9' SOFIANE DI ⚽ 27' SéKOU MAR ⚽ 70' LASSINE SI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.0
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.1
13.5
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.3
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.1%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.0%
2 — 0 7.3%
Top 5 = 61.4% · rest 38.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.39
41.0%
2.44
-1.8%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.35
29.0%
3.45
-2.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.39
70.0%
1.43
-3.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
59.0%
1.69
-7.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
71.0%
1.41
-7.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.90
48.0%
2.08
-8.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.69
54.0%
1.85
-8.9%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.95
30.0%
3.33
-11.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.