GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · AUXERRE 41%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
AUXERRE
15TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D D D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NICE
D D W D D
· 16TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 27' Sékou Mara ⚽ 70' Lassine Sinayoko
GOALS
⚽ 9' Sofiane Diop
Sékou Mara
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sékou Mara
Auxerre · 86 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Résumé : AJ Auxerre - OGC Nice (2-1) | J33 Ligue 1 McDonald's 2025-2026
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Ligue 1: Auxerre vs Nice
Ligue 1: Auxerre vs Nice
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

104%
BALL POSSESSION %
107%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
358%
PASS ACCURACY %
337%
10
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · 0-1
    Sofiane Diop
    NIC
  2. 13'
    Subst
    Clément Akpa · assist Bryan Okoh
    AUX
  3. 27'
    Goal · 1-1
    Sékou Mara
    AUX
  4. 59'
    Subst
    T. Louchet · assist Salis Abdul Samed
    NIC
  5. 59'
    Subst
    Ali Abdi · assist Melvin Bard 
    NIC
  6. 70'
    Goal · 2-1
    Lassine Sinayoko · assist Naouirou Ahamada
    AUX
  7. 71'
    Subst
    Marvin Senaya · assist Lamine Sy
    AUX
  8. 76'
    Subst
    Elye Wahi · assist Mohamed Ali Cho
    NIC
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Kevin Carlos · assist Morgan Sanson
    NIC
  10. 81'
    Subst
    Isak Jansson · assist Sofiane Diop
    NIC
  11. 86'
    Subst
    Josué Casimir · assist Sékou Mara
    AUX
  12. 86'
    Subst
    Lasso Coulibaly · assist Danny Namaso
    AUX
  13. 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting
    Josué Casimir
    AUX
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUXERRE AVG 7.3
NICE AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
104.0%
POSSESSION %
107.0%
446.0
PASSES
431.0
358.0%
PASS ACCURACY
337.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
1.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUXERRE 6 shots
Sékou Mara
1/3
Lassine Sinayoko
1/3
NICE 5 shots
Mohamed Ali Cho
2/3
Sofiane Diop
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 5-4-1
4-3-3
5-4-1
6.9
16
DONOVAN L
14
GIDEON ME
 7.2
24
BRYAN OKO
20
SINALY DI
27
LAMINE SY
5
KéVIN DAN
42
ELISHA OW
 7.3
8
NAOUIROU
19
DANNY NAM
 7.6
9
SéKOU MAR
 7.3
10
LASSINE S
80
YEHVANN D
26
MELVIN BA
37
KOJO PEPR
28
ABDULAY J
 6.6
33
A. MENDY
92
JONATHAN
 7.3
10
SOFIANE D
 6.9
6
HICHAM BO
99
SALIS ABD
8
MORGAN SA
 6.7
25
MOHAMED A
SUBSTITUTES · AUXERRE
21
Lasso Coulib...
M
7
Josué Casimi...
F
18
Assane Dious...
M
29
Marvin Senay...
D
4
Francisco Si...
D
13
Telli Siwe
D
40
Théo De Perc...
G
92
Clement Akpa
D
44
Mamoudou Cis...
F
COACH: Christophe Pelissier
SUBSTITUTES · NICE
90
Kevin Carlos...
F
11
Elye Wahi
F
21
Isak Jansson
F
20
T. Louchet
M
24
C. Vanhoutte
M
2
Ali Abdi
D
4
Dante
D
31
Maxime Dupé
G
32
Kaïl Boudach...
F
COACH: Claude Puel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUX · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NIC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
François Letexier, France
—
AUX MANAGER
Christophe Pelissier
head coach
NIC MANAGER
Claude Puel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
AUX WINS
4
DRAWS
4
NIC WINS
20%
40%
40%
10 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Aug 2025
Nice
3 – 1
Auxerre
L
14 Mar 2025
Nice
1 – 1
Auxerre
D
18 Aug 2024
Auxerre
2 – 1
Nice
W
06 Jan 2024
Nice
0 – 0
Auxerre
D
03 Mar 2023
Nice
1 – 1
Auxerre
D
AUXERRE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D D
NICE LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
AUXERRE #15
Won · already at 31 pts
NICE #16
Lost · already at 31 pts
Relegation Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 33 24 4 5 +46 76
W W D W W
2 Lens 33 21 4 8 +27 67
L W D D W
3 Lille 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W D W
4 Lyon 33 18 6 9 +17 60
L W W W W
5 Rennes 33 17 8 8 +11 59
W L W W W
6 Marseille 33 17 5 11 +16 56
W L D L W
7 Monaco 33 16 6 11 +7 54
L W D D L
8 Strasbourg 33 14 8 11 +10 50
W D L W L
9 Lorient 33 11 12 10 -1 45
W D L W L
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 33 10 11 12 -4 41
L W L W W
12 Stade Brestois 29 33 10 8 15 -12 38
L L L D D
13 Angers 33 9 8 16 -19 35
D L L D L
14 Le Havre 33 6 14 13 -14 32
L D D D D
15 Auxerre 33 7 10 16 -12 31
W W L D D
16 Nice 33 7 10 16 -23 31
L D D D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 33 3 7 23 -44 16
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting · Josué Casimir
    1st Yellowcard
  • 86'
    Subst · Lasso Coulibaly
    9th Substitution
  • 86'
    Subst · Josué Casimir
    8th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Isak Jansson
    7th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Kevin Carlos
    5th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Elye Wahi
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Marvin Senaya
    4th Substitution
  • 70'
    Goal · 2-1 · Lassine Sinayoko
    3rd Goal
  • 59'
    Subst · Ali Abdi
    2nd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · T. Louchet
    3rd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 27'
    Goal · 1-1 · Sékou Mara
    2nd Goal
  • 13'
    Subst · Clément Akpa
    1st Substitution
  • 9'
    Goal · 0-1 · Sofiane Diop
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AUXERRE WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.47
DRAW
3.35
29.9% implied
↑ best 3.48
NICE WIN
2.95
33.9% implied
↑ best 3.10

Market favors Auxerre. AI projects AUXERRE 41%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUXERRE 41% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.32 3.35 2.95 -0.9%
1xBet 2.47 3.48 3.10 +0.5%
888Sport 2.38 3.25 2.80 -1.0%
Bet365 2.35 3.40 2.90 -0.4%
Betano 2.42 3.30 3.00 -0.3%
Betfair 2.38 3.30 3.00 -1.0%
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.90 -0.4%
Dafabet 2.43 3.40 3.00 -0.2%
Marathonbet 2.43 3.42 3.05 -0.2%
Pinnacle 2.44 3.42 3.07 +0.0%
SBO 2.41 3.15 2.80 -0.5%
Unibet 2.32 3.40 2.95 -0.4%
William Hill 2.40 3.25 2.88 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.52
2.5 O 1.90 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.19 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 10 bks
NO
2.08 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.80
Away -0.5 1.59
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.