GOALSENSE
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Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 46 · SAT, 02 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
DERBY
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
SHEFFIELD UTD
⚽ 5' Sammie Szmodics
GOALS
⚽ 62' Tom Cannon ⚽ 69' Sydie Peck
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DER
2 – 1
SHE
most likely scoreline · 11.5% probability
AI PICKS DERBY TO WIN 56%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
DER WIN 56%
DRAW 26%
SHE WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.44% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Derby's dominant home form (WWWWW) and league position edge overcome Sheffield Utd's recent away competence; slight home favourite.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DERBY FAVORED
56%
Derby +9 pts in table and +9 goal differential — consistent quality edge
+20.0%
WHY SHEFFIELD UTD CHALLENGED
18%
Derby perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Sheffield Utd mixed away form (WLDLW)
+25.0%
Both teams recent form volatile; BTTS and Over 2.5 both likely in competitive match
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Derby perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Sheffield Utd mixed away form (WLDLW)
  • Both teams recent form volatile; BTTS and Over 2.5 both likely in competitive match
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' SAMMIE SZM ⚽ 62' TOM CANNON ⚽ 69' SYDIE PECK
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.7
9.1
3.9
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.5
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.3
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.4
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.5%
1 — 0 10.7%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.1%
3 — 0 8.3%
Top 5 = 49.3% · rest 50.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
58.0%
1.72
-0.5%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
56.0%
1.79
-0.8%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
82.0%
1.22
-1.3%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.79
26.0%
3.85
-1.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
60.0%
1.67
-1.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
74.0%
1.35
-8.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
44.0%
2.27
-11.7%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.26
18.0%
5.56
-23.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.